La Liga · resolved market
Sevilla FC vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20208a5495671b005429276cb7894666f476dc71644458132d0e18e571d34ba0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,953
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 6,301$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.22 | 4,846 | 47%2,279 W · 2,567 L | -17.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed Over | 76c | 2,615$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.17 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 77c | 2,340$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.2 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.84 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 70c | 1,745$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.9 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 24c | 1,300$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over | 50c | 939$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 23c | 912.84$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.95 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 24c | 800$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 75c | 684.23$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.06 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 64 | 78.1%50 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 23c | 444$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 49c | 384.38$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.27 | 75 | 73.3%55 W · 20 L | +20.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 23c | 327.82$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.46 | 3,546 | 42.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 52c | 324.38$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.68 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…0144backed Under | 39c | 320$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 35c | 231.46$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 1,669 | 43.8%731 W · 938 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 219.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 76c | 209$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.35per pick | 56cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 431 | 57.8%249 W · 182 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c7…f049backed Over | 65c | 136.92$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Over | 77c | 98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0891backed Under | 37c | 96.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Over | 67c | 88.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 57c | 87.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 428 | 58.4%250 W · 178 L | +31.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 75c | 87$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…bc6fbacked Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366f…2d82backed Under | 44c | 63.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 29c | 55.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 66c | 43.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked Under | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca12…1cc0backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 36.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x888b…8f3fbacked Over | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25f6…fcd2backed Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 42 | 83.3%35 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 80c | 24.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3c…e863backed Over | 76c | 20.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 52c | 20.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 76c | 19.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 117 | 69.2%81 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 74c | 19.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…27babacked Over | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sevilla FC vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5this page
- Sevilla FC vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sevilla FC vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Levante UD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.