TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Sevilla FC vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$238,878
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$240,598

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,878 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over51c192,701$98,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94,451.174852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Under49c159,452$78,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,037.088940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under50c19,309$9,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,588.5790843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c15,392$7,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,533.044,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over52c15,000$7,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,27030446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Under49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90012648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over52c9,207$4,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,419.3653246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under48c4,299$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,063.5664046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07fc…7ac6backed Over52c3,199$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.64475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+39.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c2,324$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.7669142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over50c1,110$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55535148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under49c1,030$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.82123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-41.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50012845.3%58 W · 70 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd382…8885backed Under72c906.69$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.821172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under49c800$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39222552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under49c798.38$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.223452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fde…66b2backed Over52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over50c576.28$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.8718650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under48c561.25$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.45650%28 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under48c444$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.129542.1%40 W · 55 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over51c433.33$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.333850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Under50c420$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21012951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19627652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19635054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19631751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x780c…7921backed Under50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Over51c343.13$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.136756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Under48c336$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.2820452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under50c324.65$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.571,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c320.67$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.943,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff8…aa3abacked Over52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1441050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Under49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14729053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Under55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1653354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bf5…0144backed Under64c300$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick54cpaid-69.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.126238.7%24 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Over51c289.28$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.9212156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Under51c270.59$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13849447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Under49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.518152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under49c240$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.621849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under49c240$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.614244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8208…1742backed Over44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.271838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Under49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9815250%76 W · 76 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68ff…997ebacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa69d…228ebacked Under54c200$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-41.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7175…08f1backed Over46c195.65$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.65560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa041…04d2backed Under52c190.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under49c180$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.217648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Under49c180$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.216151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under49c180$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.214950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under49c180$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.243255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Under49c160$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.411448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under49c140$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.619652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Over45c135.56$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5612044.2%53 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Under49c130$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.720949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Under49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.821051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Under49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.87951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.820652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.811952.9%63 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Under49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.87045.7%32 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.819750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.89945.5%45 W · 54 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Under49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.820250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.811346.9%53 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.819951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.829053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under49c110$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.420054.5%109 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over49c102$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Under50c100.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505050%25 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4919153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4921151.7%109 W · 102 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4918551.9%96 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c6b…81cbbacked Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Over52c96.54$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.54771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+56.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Under49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.219553.3%104 W · 91 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under49c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.312147.9%58 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Under51c67.27$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.31837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over52c63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9912727.6%35 W · 92 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.419352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.49247.8%44 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.419152.4%100 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.410247.1%48 W · 54 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.418853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.419155%105 W · 86 L+0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.418852.7%99 W · 89 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.419751.8%102 W · 95 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.410351.5%53 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.49649%47 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.419053.7%102 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.49343%40 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.410045%45 W · 55 L-9.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.49551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.415747.1%74 W · 83 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6930842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Under62c56.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357844.9%35 W · 43 L-6.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c22…70a0backed Under50c55.62$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.812548%12 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under59c52$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.51,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4534…1fc2backed Under80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.