La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7aedf3c6f0d1fd3a43fb74bfea75a9b2fa06ac9d785fc6550a550c6dcf50704f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Levante UDof Sevilla FC, Levante UD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Sevilla FC | 25c | 3,378$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.79 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Levante UD | 70c | 2,400$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Levante UD | 75c | 2,241$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.22 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Sevilla FC | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Levante UD | 70c | 450$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc40f…1950backed Levante UD | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Levante UD | 70c | 330$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Sevilla FC | 30c | 300.7$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Levante UD | 69c | 299.99$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Sevilla FC | 30c | 230$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Sevilla FC | 31c | 193.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Sevilla FC | 31c | 129.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 27.2%31 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Sevilla FC | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Sevilla FC | 30c | 99.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 227 | 40.1%91 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Sevilla FC | 30c | 89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Sevilla FC | 29c | 85.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Levante UD | 71c | 73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Sevilla FC | 28c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Levante UD | 73c | 31.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Levante UD | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Levante UD | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Levante UD | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Levante UD | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)this page
- Sevilla FC vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sevilla FC vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.