Fifa International · resolved market
Will Benin win on 2026-01-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0e3717b48eefd8b17888d3339efc03c534f43a15863d03dad4be9ce688c6f8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $438,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $459,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 9c | 67,583$5,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,946.24 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yes | 9c | 49,402$4,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,446.19 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6948…b971backed Yes | 0c | 33,660$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53f…7ac1backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Yes | 9c | 10,379$934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.13 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41bf…7ab3backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 9c | 6,505$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.56 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 9c | 5,872$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.99 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 8c | 4,891$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.32 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Yes | 11c | 4,793$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45b…627dbacked Yes | 10c | 4,725$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Yes | 9c | 4,184$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.53 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Yes | 7c | 4,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…62febacked Yes | 9c | 2,631$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dc…17d8backed Yes | 1c | 2,090$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…f442backed Yes | 11c | 1,619$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +358.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Yes | 1c | 1,204$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes | 9c | 1,065$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6b…5263backed Yes | 10c | 1,031$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0110…3b75backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2631…eaf0backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 8c | 994.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.58 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Yes | 7c | 985.61$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 7c | 967.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 6c | 859.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Yes | 9c | 833.33$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 9c | 799.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Yes | 6c | 756.61$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 7c | 714.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…4396backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b73…7421backed Yes | 10c | 706.41$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…fe1cbacked Yes | 11c | 666.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 8c | 629.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 20.5%30 W · 116 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 2c | 487.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes | 9c | 482.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.45 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 7c | 425.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 7c | 414.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…e6febacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 115 | 26.1%30 W · 85 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…cdd2backed Yes | 7c | 391.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd088…dd09backed Yes | 7c | 364.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…07b6backed Yes | 9c | 350$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…dfb1backed Yes | 9c | 344.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe219…894dbacked Yes | 4c | 322.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c7…3613backed Yes | 9c | 310.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d2…3275backed Yes | 9c | 300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf426…5181backed Yes | 7c | 294.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf54a…e25dbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 6c | 232.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcecc…affebacked Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7003…684bbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Yes | 9c | 221.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d8…969ebacked Yes | 10c | 208.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 10c | 183$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…5264backed Yes | 9c | 171.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…e653backed Yes | 8c | 167.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 8c | 167.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…77d9backed Yes | 9c | 162.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 10c | 149.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…c556backed Yes | 10c | 146.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…5d97backed Yes | 9c | 143.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x554f…afb4backed Yes | 9c | 133.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…36a8backed Yes | 9c | 133.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…075ebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859b…6bbabacked Yes | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…9e9bbacked Yes | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb4…f28cbacked Yes | 10c | 101.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1027…966cbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Benin win on 2026-01-05?this page
- Will Egypt vs. Benin end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Egypt win on 2026-01-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.