College Football · resolved market
Akron vs. Ball State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9e28802c9d2563f429488742f274388f14a463bccc982854e1aff688a1f722b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ball Stateof Akron, Ball State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $559,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $562,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $559,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Ball State | 48c | 499,896$241,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257,899.59 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Akron | 51c | 148,331$76,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,187.69 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Akron | 51c | 90,000$46,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,050 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Akron | 53c | 61,827$32,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,657.74 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Akron | 51c | 48,500$24,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,835 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Akron | 51c | 33,928$17,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,287 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Akron | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Akron | 52c | 29,400$15,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,288 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Akron | 47c | 15,222$7,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,093.5 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Ball State | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,649.98 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Akron | 52c | 14,610$7,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,597.43 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Akron | 52c | 13,106$6,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,771.26 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Akron | 51c | 12,941$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,599.81 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Ball State | 55c | 12,842$7,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,767.01 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Akron | 52c | 11,000$5,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,720 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Akron | 45c | 10,405$4,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,664.83 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Ball State | 53c | 9,187$4,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,282.58 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Akron | 51c | 8,735$4,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,454.9 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Ball State | 65c | 3,174$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Akron | 52c | 2,375$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.03 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Akron | 52c | 2,050$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Akron | 52c | 1,490$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.99 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Akron | 51c | 980$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.8 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Akron | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc821…8d23backed Akron | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x114a…8aa2backed Akron | 50c | 793.34$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Akron | 3c | 744.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7147…9a01backed Akron | 19c | 739.11$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…4beabacked Akron | 51c | 725.49$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2343…6f72backed Akron | 52c | 538$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Akron | 53c | 457$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.21 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Akron | 53c | 399$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.47 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Akron | 50c | 395$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa9…802ebacked Ball State | 50c | 332$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Akron | 39c | 327.06$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x467a…2ea1backed Ball State | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x916c…61bcbacked Ball State | 50c | 310$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed Akron | 53c | 300$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a35…8185backed Ball State | 50c | 294$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…72d9backed Ball State | 50c | 284$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Ball State | 52c | 276.33$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.27 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Akron | 37c | 273.07$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.36 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Akron | 54c | 252.94$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.59 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Akron | 53c | 236.13$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Akron | 51c | 230.94$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.78 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Akron | 20c | 219.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Akron | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…7a42backed Akron | 51c | 190.2$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Akron | 27c | 184.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…41e9backed Akron | 52c | 180$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Ball State | 44c | 170.22$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.22 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Akron | 52c | 158.69$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.52 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Akron | 18c | 147.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Ball State | 49c | 118$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Akron | 49c | 114.85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…a454backed Akron | 53c | 107.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Ball State | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Ball State | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f55…535dbacked Akron | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Akron | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Akron | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…435cbacked Akron | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Akron | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…8625backed Akron | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Ball State | 46c | 86.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Akron | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Akron | 67c | 64.83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Akron | 53c | 53.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Ball State | 46c | 52.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Ball State | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Akron | 24c | 43.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…fbf1backed Ball State | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Ball State | 37c | 35.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…4d77backed Ball State | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea96…68febacked Akron | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdceb…cd72backed Ball State | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a6…6fa0backed Akron | 52c | 28.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x851f…66ecbacked Ball State | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Akron vs. Ball Statethis page
- Akron vs. Ball State: O/U 41.5Over won
- Akron vs. Ball State: O/U 43.5Over won
- Spread: Akron (-1.5)Ball State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.