Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Griekspoor (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38a2da6c6a7ef0d55b5a8bbe166a027d7fa2f9d86739c1a5dfe12bd10eb74a0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Griekspoorof Rublev, Griekspoor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Griekspoor | 51c | 5,602$2,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,763.4 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Rublev | 12c | 5,500$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Rublev | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Rublev | 49c | 4,105$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Rublev | 44c | 950.89$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.59 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Rublev | 2c | 938.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Rublev | 50c | 901.38$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Rublev | 4c | 836.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +34.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Griekspoor | 79c | 683.84$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.85 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Griekspoor | 54c | 623.54$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.54 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Griekspoor | 50c | 582.9$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.45 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Rublev | 47c | 499.96$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.98 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Rublev | 5c | 317.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Rublev | 11c | 308.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Griekspoor | 57c | 306.69$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.69 | 182 | 47.3%86 W · 96 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Rublev | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…98cfbacked Rublev | 10c | 299.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Rublev | 50c | 288.43$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Griekspoor | 56c | 258.19$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Rublev | 49c | 254.11$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.15 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7721…e537backed Rublev | 34c | 239$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.11 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +494.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Griekspoor | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 245 | 60%147 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Rublev | 47c | 214.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7b…9716backed Rublev | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -11.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Rublev | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Rublev | 50c | 199.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…456fbacked Rublev | 50c | 158.39$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.65 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed82…b8cfbacked Griekspoor | 57c | 125.72$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Rublev | 23c | 125$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Griekspoor | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Griekspoor | 49c | 111.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Griekspoor | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 310 | 39.4%122 W · 188 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Rublev | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…a103backed Rublev | 51c | 90.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Rublev | 49c | 81.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e9…2c06backed Griekspoor | 53c | 73.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd9…aea9backed Rublev | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…ebbdbacked Griekspoor | 61c | 65.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0d03backed Rublev | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 166 | 57.8%96 W · 70 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed Rublev | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 318 | 53.5%170 W · 148 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Rublev | 47c | 42.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9f…3544backed Griekspoor | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…2bc6backed Rublev | 47c | 38.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…90a3backed Griekspoor | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 488 | 52.9%258 W · 230 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f5…feeebacked Rublev | 47c | 32.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ad…4c1fbacked Griekspoor | 57c | 30.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabaa…62a5backed Rublev | 51c | 29.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0799…9452backed Griekspoor | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Griekspoor (+1.5)this page
- Andrey Rublev vs. Tallon Griekspoor: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Tallon GriekspoorTallon Griekspoor won
- Rublev vs. Griekspoor: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Rublev vs. Griekspoor: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Rublev vs GriekspoorGriekspoor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.