Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac89cc07d2a88e8017ca7befed80db016e4c461ec5124a8bb9c0b87e96994bf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HŠK Zrinjski Mostarof Crystal Palace FC, HŠK Zrinjski Mostar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked HŠK Zrinjski Mostar | 53c | 1,618$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.66 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Crystal Palace FC | 48c | 1,157$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.24 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Crystal Palace FC | 44c | 298.38$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.05 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Crystal Palace FC | 44c | 207.84$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.45 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…4488backed HŠK Zrinjski Mostar | 56c | 188.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed HŠK Zrinjski Mostar | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked HŠK Zrinjski Mostar | 58c | 173$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.66 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed HŠK Zrinjski Mostar | 56c | 158.12$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.44 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…456fbacked Crystal Palace FC | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Crystal Palace FC | 44c | 146.48$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Crystal Palace FC | 44c | 125$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Crystal Palace FC | 43c | 82.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked HŠK Zrinjski Mostar | 60c | 80.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Crystal Palace FC | 44c | 80.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Crystal Palace FC | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe19e…ac82backed Crystal Palace FC | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Crystal Palace FC | 48c | 63.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5a…166fbacked Crystal Palace FC | 44c | 57.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked HŠK Zrinjski Mostar | 56c | 56.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Crystal Palace FC | 44c | 53.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21f…1c9cbacked HŠK Zrinjski Mostar | 59c | 50.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed HŠK Zrinjski Mostar | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Crystal Palace FC | 42c | 47.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Crystal Palace FC | 43c | 45.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698c…6c8ebacked Crystal Palace FC | 43c | 34.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Crystal Palace FC | 34c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed HŠK Zrinjski Mostar | 52c | 27.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: O/U 1.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: O/U 2.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: O/U 3.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: HŠK Zrinjski Mostar (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: HŠK Zrinjski Mostar (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.