Europa Conference League · resolved market
Crystal Palace FC vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4ac6064e11507ad2db9c4f0a2fa3fae2f1eaf920c43ef348e0c5318417f4c16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 3,267$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.48 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.95 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 48c | 2,300$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.95 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 1,492$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.74 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 51c | 1,082$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.77 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 26c | 787.25$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.92 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Under | 59c | 785.62$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 676.32$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.63 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…0380backed Under | 9c | 600.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 61c | 575.44$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7537…801dbacked Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9670…6589backed Under | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 63c | 320$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91e…b045backed Under | 10c | 300$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 9cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 17c | 245$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Over | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Under | 54c | 190$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Under | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 77c | 162.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Over | 80c | 152.44$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 16c | 124.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 16c | 124.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 15c | 121.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 15c | 119.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…90c2backed Over | 64c | 108.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Under | 16c | 101.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Under | 36c | 100.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…d837backed Under | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.5 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 32c | 96.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -12.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Under | 32c | 82.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Over | 27c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…4488backed Under | 61c | 78.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Over | 80c | 77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Over | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2c…9af4backed Over | 72c | 69.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a94…b06bbacked Over | 73c | 65.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Under | 20c | 63.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 52c | 62.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1c6ebacked Under | 20c | 61.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbc…f313backed Over | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Under | 25c | 42.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -5.3wins | -0.25per pick | 35cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Over | 59c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Under | 31c | 38.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Over | 76c | 25.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca5…3af6backed Over | 66c | 24.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4acf…1179backed Over | 77c | 21.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…a8a9backed Over | 75c | 18.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Crystal Palace FC vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: O/U 1.5this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: O/U 2.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: O/U 3.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)HŠK Zrinjski Mostar won
- Spread: HŠK Zrinjski Mostar (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: HŠK Zrinjski Mostar (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.