Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf36ded650e6543a2d3a4e340411670a66c845a08fe7ae6143a07cd18aeaf1bab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Crystal Palace FCof Crystal Palace FC, HŠK Zrinjski Mostar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Crystal Palace FC | 68c | 8,000$5,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed HŠK Zrinjski Mostar | 33c | 6,830$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,264.94 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked HŠK Zrinjski Mostar | 31c | 2,453$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.31 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked HŠK Zrinjski Mostar | 34c | 1,441$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.98 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Crystal Palace FC | 71c | 1,319$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.71 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Crystal Palace FC | 37c | 1,067$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.13 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed HŠK Zrinjski Mostar | 34c | 751.4$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.35 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Crystal Palace FC | 66c | 548.42$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.04 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Crystal Palace FC | 65c | 491.97$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.19 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed HŠK Zrinjski Mostar | 34c | 491.53$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.12 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked HŠK Zrinjski Mostar | 31c | 465.53$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.31 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Crystal Palace FC | 66c | 442.55$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.47 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed HŠK Zrinjski Mostar | 61c | 338.94$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.35 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Crystal Palace FC | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked HŠK Zrinjski Mostar | 63c | 237.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Crystal Palace FC | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked HŠK Zrinjski Mostar | 26c | 170$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Crystal Palace FC | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 83 | 69.9%58 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Crystal Palace FC | 68c | 125.76$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked HŠK Zrinjski Mostar | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Crystal Palace FC | 66c | 93$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Crystal Palace FC | 66c | 90$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Crystal Palace FC | 66c | 82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Crystal Palace FC | 66c | 79$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed HŠK Zrinjski Mostar | 34c | 68.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 179 | 56.4%101 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked HŠK Zrinjski Mostar | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed HŠK Zrinjski Mostar | 55c | 57.1$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…1754backed HŠK Zrinjski Mostar | 40c | 55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed HŠK Zrinjski Mostar | 23c | 54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9675…6bf3backed Crystal Palace FC | 71c | 52.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Crystal Palace FC | 67c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -6.0wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked HŠK Zrinjski Mostar | 34c | 49.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked HŠK Zrinjski Mostar | 32c | 46.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Crystal Palace FC | 66c | 41.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Crystal Palace FC | 66c | 39.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Crystal Palace FC | 66c | 39.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed HŠK Zrinjski Mostar | 31c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked HŠK Zrinjski Mostar | 30c | 34.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed HŠK Zrinjski Mostar | 63c | 34.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…2e2abacked Crystal Palace FC | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746f…8dc7backed Crystal Palace FC | 62c | 27.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Crystal Palace FC | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -8.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Crystal Palace FC | 69c | 16.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)this page
- Crystal Palace FC vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: O/U 1.5Over won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: O/U 2.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: O/U 3.5Under won
- Crystal Palace FC vs. HŠK Zrinjski Mostar: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)HŠK Zrinjski Mostar won
- Spread: HŠK Zrinjski Mostar (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: HŠK Zrinjski Mostar (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.