Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Brooksby (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1cbcd7f0dea2839e415acdb1d715975dc87a67eb186fbc072ae7a1909f23034
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Medvedevof Medvedev, Brooksby
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,705
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,705 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Medvedev | 61c | 2,468$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.67 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Brooksby | 39c | 1,827$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.51 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Brooksby | 41c | 801.8$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.1 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Brooksby | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Brooksby | 44c | 357.14$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.14 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Medvedev | 61c | 301.96$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.89 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Brooksby | 43c | 287.39$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.58 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Brooksby | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed Medvedev | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Medvedev | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Medvedev | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Medvedev | 60c | 159.37$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.97 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Medvedev | 55c | 130.57$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.27 | 645 | 37.2%240 W · 405 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9970…1651backed Brooksby | 47c | 105.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…456fbacked Medvedev | 57c | 100.95$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.41 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Medvedev | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 250 | 51.2%128 W · 122 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Medvedev | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Brooksby | 50c | 79.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Brooksby | 38c | 65.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Medvedev | 57c | 61.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc83…215cbacked Brooksby | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6c…3aadbacked Brooksby | 47c | 42.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…c767backed Medvedev | 59c | 30.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Brooksby (+1.5)this page
- Dubai Tennis Championships: Daniil Medvedev vs Jenson BrooksbyDaniil Medvedev won
- Medvedev vs. Brooksby: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Medvedev vs. Brooksby: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs BrooksbyMedvedev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.