Other European Leagues · resolved market
Go Ahead Eagles vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe912591bc79ec12b4149e128fd1e4bd445c4a90186098e97f10c7064d115d92d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd70…ccdbbacked Over | 57c | 12,227$6,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,257.57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 9,018$4,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,194.19 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 43c | 6,000$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 43c | 2,500$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 57c | 1,514$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 1,212$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.78 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 39c | 799.99$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.47 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 52c | 724.14$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.6 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 43c | 721.14$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.09 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 59c | 679.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.66 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 56c | 611.3$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.74 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 57c | 482.76$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.59 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 464.86$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.16 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 41c | 419.41$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.38 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…b935backed Over | 43c | 235$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.95 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 58c | 205.14$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 58c | 180$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 58c | 172.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 167$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.43 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 41c | 115$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…456fbacked Over | 45c | 111.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 100.56$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 59c | 84.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 61c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 47c | 61.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Under | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Under | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 63c | 50.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 61c | 48.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 41c | 48.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 64c | 47.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…1699backed Over | 59c | 41.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 43c | 37.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 48c | 35.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 58c | 34.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 42c | 32.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 56c | 32.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 60c | 31.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Under | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 61c | 21.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Over | 51c | 19.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 80c | 18.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 2.5this page
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. Heracles Almelo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 3.5Over won
- Go Ahead Eagles vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.