Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Perricard (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd2e999630bf4b554f53806324a9ef82543b27194cc8c63e884bf657fa9bc1e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auger-Aliassimeof Auger-Aliassime, Perricard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,397
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Auger-Aliassime | 66c | 2,757$1,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.65 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Perricard | 37c | 2,737$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.21 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Auger-Aliassime | 62c | 2,304$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.27 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa34…6628backed Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 1,149$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Perricard | 37c | 1,038$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.54 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Perricard | 40c | 930.32$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.82 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Perricard | 39c | 673$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.47 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…883cbacked Auger-Aliassime | 60c | 332.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.61 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Auger-Aliassime | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Perricard | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 12cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Auger-Aliassime | 63c | 293.97$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.42 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Auger-Aliassime | 77c | 195.26$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Perricard | 40c | 182.43$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Perricard | 38c | 149.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Perricard | 39c | 149.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.21 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Perricard | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…93d9backed Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Perricard | 39c | 93.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 318 | 53.5%170 W · 148 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…456fbacked Auger-Aliassime | 62c | 80.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Perricard | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Auger-Aliassime | 60c | 69.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Perricard | 35c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Perricard | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 41.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…5910backed Perricard | 40c | 27.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Perricard (+1.5)this page
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Perricard: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardAuger-Aliassime won
- Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs PerricardAuger-Aliassime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.