TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Al Nassr Saudi Clubof Al Nassr Saudi Club, Al Fayha Saudi Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,287
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,752

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,287 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbdd…a5debacked Al Nassr Saudi Club62c1,181$729 inWon+$451.91,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Al Fayha Saudi Club43c1,163$500 inLost-$499.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Al Fayha Saudi Club45c798$359 inLost-$359.13735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.1wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Al Fayha Saudi Club49c714.36$351 inLost-$351.125,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Al Nassr Saudi Club54c600$324 inWon+$2761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club54c374$202 inWon+$172.047263.9%46 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb672…456fbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club42c323.81$136 inWon+$187.81666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Al Nassr Saudi Club49c117$57 inWon+$59.851566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+32.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club49c102.04$50 inWon+$52.04540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Al Fayha Saudi Club43c83.98$36 inLost-$36.4179435.1%279 W · 515 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x722a…d6edbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club56c78.95$44 inWon+$34.861764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec7a…ace8backed Al Nassr Saudi Club57c53.5$30 inWon+$23.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Al Nassr Saudi Club28c53$15 inWon+$37.9972144.1%318 W · 403 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ac1…3afebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club57c52.63$30 inWon+$22.631668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Al Fayha Saudi Club45c45.45$20 inLost-$20.4517340.5%70 W · 103 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Al Nassr Saudi Club44c34.09$15 inWon+$19.094334.9%15 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc21d…727ebacked Al Nassr Saudi Club50c31.42$16 inWon+$15.711957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.