Asian League · resolved market
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07a3d177d4460c6f4f1e61d17df1293a0d01a386f10b78f3490e7483039a5f34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 2,106$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.03 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Under | 1c | 1,918$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 66c | 759.7$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.7 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 632.37$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.95 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Under | 36c | 299.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 63c | 273$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 40c | 246$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.94 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 54c | 192.48$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.57 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Over | 61c | 175.1$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8529…b973backed Over | 40c | 174.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0082…e801backed Over | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 54cpaid | +57%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 38c | 115$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 35c | 100.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8b…e16abacked Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 39c | 88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over | 54c | 83.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 61c | 65.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Under | 38c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 38c | 63.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 36c | 58.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Under | 37c | 58.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 56.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…b852backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Under | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 36c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc96…e37cbacked Over | 63c | 42.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 35c | 39.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 39c | 37.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50b7…9802backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 34.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cae…db7fbacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 51c | 30.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 61c | 29.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Over | 61c | 27.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Fayha Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Fayha Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Nassr Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Nassr Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.