TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,293
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,542

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,293 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under76c668.27$505 inLost-$505.225,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over22c416$92 inWon+$324.481,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f44…382dbacked Over42c321$135 inWon+$186.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Over43c318.22$136 inWon+$182.671844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xabe9…4180backed Under58c317$184 inLost-$183.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a16…6291backed Over42c300$126 inWon+$1741100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2c…0828backed Under58c270$157 inLost-$156.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7185…41f3backed Over42c252$106 inWon+$146.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under60c250$150 inLost-$15012250%61 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ac…4747backed Under58c244$142 inLost-$141.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7827…36a1backed Over42c229$96 inWon+$132.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeefd…902fbacked Under58c194$113 inLost-$112.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under57c180$103 inLost-$102.618446.2%85 W · 99 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over40c167$67 inWon+$100.211742.7%50 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under58c114.22$66 inLost-$66.2517340.5%70 W · 103 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over36c101.47$37 inWon+$64.511238.4%43 W · 69 L-11.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7c16…c36fbacked Over25c100$25 inWon+$751729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe108…04f2backed Under58c77$45 inLost-$44.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over40c67.4$27 inWon+$40.4479435.1%279 W · 515 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under71c65$46 inLost-$46.151,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over30c60$18 inWon+$42.35345.3%24 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under66c59.82$39 inLost-$39.4896846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9379…f116backed Over34c59.82$20 inWon+$39.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over44c53.98$24 inWon+$30.2372144.1%318 W · 403 L-29.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under56c53.98$30 inLost-$30.237844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over33c50$16 inWon+$33.552676.9%20 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.