Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54e2bcd69a4ba11d351b34b3ff656077679a136622bf44f496f0171b91dd059d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southampton FCof Southampton FC, Sheffield Wednesday FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7469…cbc5backed Southampton FC | 54c | 2,170$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Southampton FC | 54c | 1,559$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.33 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 14c | 1,003$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.49 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46c | 968.3$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.58 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 49c | 882.62$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.48 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Southampton FC | 56c | 720.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.16 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44fd…b634backed Southampton FC | 53c | 421.18$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Southampton FC | 54c | 272$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.12 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Southampton FC | 55c | 218.8$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.94 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 44c | 212.11$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…456fbacked Southampton FC | 52c | 190.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46c | 180$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Southampton FC | 55c | 150$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 118 | 66.1%78 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Southampton FC | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 45c | 149.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.84 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Southampton FC | 56c | 112$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 292 | 59.2%173 W · 119 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 47c | 112$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46c | 111$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 46c | 62.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Southampton FC | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Southampton FC | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Southampton FC | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Southampton FC | 56c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 45c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Southampton FC | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 125 | 32.8%41 W · 84 L | -10.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Southampton FC | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 229 | 58.1%133 W · 96 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Southampton FC | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 269 | 59.9%161 W · 108 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Southampton FC | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 228 | 58.8%134 W · 94 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Sheffield Wednesday FC | 47c | 24.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)this page
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Sheffield Wednesday FC (-1.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Sheffield Wednesday FC (-2.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-2.5)Sheffield Wednesday FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.