Premier League · resolved market
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf9bda7bba6c92610f537c55a4c1467b012b4c9291e7930dcdcef153bb0a50ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 39c | 12,821$4,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,860.75 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.26per pick | 55cpaid | +55%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 3,918$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.27 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 3,196$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.16 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 63c | 2,778$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 62c | 1,624$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.94 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…664abacked Over | 39c | 1,531$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.34 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 61c | 1,472$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.47 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 906.24$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 61c | 568.22$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.62 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…6c3abacked Under | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x084e…71d6backed Over | 40c | 196.68$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 61c | 98.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 46c | 73.18$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Over | 39c | 64.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…5e78backed Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 63c | 42.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 37c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 61c | 21.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 57c | 21.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Sheffield Wednesday FC (-1.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Sheffield Wednesday FC (-2.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)Southampton FC won
- Spread: Southampton FC (-2.5)Sheffield Wednesday FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.