Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Griekspoor (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfed1bb4f0469a0d4a9bce2d75b4ae48b91501bb5864c94ea931cb279b8b3657a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Griekspoorof Bublik, Griekspoor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,947
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Bublik | 54c | 2,581$1,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.5 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Griekspoor | 46c | 2,379$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.42 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Griekspoor | 49c | 675.6$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.26 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…8206backed Bublik | 51c | 428.47$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Bublik | 55c | 296.33$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.98 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Griekspoor | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Griekspoor | 53c | 236.79$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.79 | 672 | 39.1%263 W · 409 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Griekspoor | 53c | 189.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.17 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Griekspoor | 54c | 138.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.51 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Bublik | 51c | 136.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.53 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…93d9backed Bublik | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Griekspoor | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Bublik | 52c | 75.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c52…1d6ebacked Bublik | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…456fbacked Bublik | 53c | 68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Griekspoor | 49c | 60.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed Bublik | 51c | 60.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 318 | 53.5%170 W · 148 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Griekspoor | 49c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Griekspoor | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed Bublik | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0d03backed Bublik | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 166 | 57.8%96 W · 70 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Bublik | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Griekspoor | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Bublik | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Griekspoor | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Bublik | 53c | 35.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Griekspoor | 48c | 32.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Bublik | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…275ebacked Griekspoor | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Griekspoor | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Griekspoor | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0179…4dc1backed Bublik | 50c | 29.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebcb…dd4bbacked Bublik | 52c | 29.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…e2d0backed Bublik | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.8wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…2506backed Bublik | 47c | 21.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 217 | 59.4%129 W · 88 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Bublik | 51c | 20.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Griekspoor (+1.5)this page
- Dubai Tennis Championships: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander BublikGriekspoor won
- Griekspoor vs. Bublik: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Griekspoor vs BublikGriekspoor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.