Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Rinderknech (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabeaf91b3dab43876e066c50a41d9f7c03718777691f7677b0c9cb96f18678a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rublevof Rublev, Rinderknech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Rublev | 53c | 4,061$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,908.57 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…4fb2backed Rinderknech | 47c | 3,196$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.72 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Rublev | 55c | 1,957$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.18 | 1,277 | 56.6%723 W · 554 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Rinderknech | 55c | 1,800$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.91 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Rublev | 54c | 1,274$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.34 | 1,125 | 42.8%482 W · 643 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Rinderknech | 46c | 1,141$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.03 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Rinderknech | 45c | 1,120$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Rublev | 54c | 806.83$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.96 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rinderknech | 46c | 694.3$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.93 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rublev | 45c | 506.81$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.95 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Rublev | 55c | 501.04$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.04 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Rublev | 55c | 495.31$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.89 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Rinderknech | 50c | 360.56$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b8…632abacked Rinderknech | 51c | 285.77$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.1 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Rinderknech | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Rublev | 58c | 245.84$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.39 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Rinderknech | 45c | 234.8$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.66 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Rinderknech | 47c | 150.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.97 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Rinderknech | 50c | 141.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 681 | 39.1%266 W · 415 L | -30.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55fc…8b73backed Rinderknech | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Rinderknech | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 418 | 46.2%193 W · 225 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1424…4f78backed Rinderknech | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7b…9716backed Rublev | 52c | 96.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -11.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa677…9beabacked Rublev | 71c | 91.55$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…ecbfbacked Rinderknech | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7b…20bbbacked Rublev | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…09dabacked Rinderknech | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Rublev | 44c | 68.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d8…849abacked Rinderknech | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Rinderknech | 48c | 61.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 556 | 41.2%229 W · 327 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Rublev | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Rinderknech | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Rublev | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a5…80d4backed Rublev | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 318 | 53.5%170 W · 148 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Rublev | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6c…3aadbacked Rublev | 44c | 42.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…8bb1backed Rinderknech | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Rinderknech | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 283 | 22.3%63 W · 220 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked Rinderknech | 53c | 38.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…d212backed Rinderknech | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Rublev | 49c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…456fbacked Rublev | 56c | 30.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Rinderknech | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 180 | 20.6%37 W · 143 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Rinderknech | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…13dfbacked Rublev | 54c | 28.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Rublev | 49c | 24.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Rinderknech (+1.5)this page
- Dubai Tennis Championships: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur RinderknechAndrey Rublev won
- Rublev vs. Rinderknech: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Rublev vs. Rinderknech: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Rublev vs. Rinderknech: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Rublev vs RinderknechRublev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.