TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Brasilia: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Elmer Moeller

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pedro Boscardin Diasof Pedro Boscardin Dias, Elmer Moeller
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,912
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,077

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,912 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Elmer Moeller38c3,830$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.858,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias54c3,822$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,772.171,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Elmer Moeller33c3,590$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.12,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Pedro Boscardin Dias51c2,402$1,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.5781349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Elmer Moeller49c2,047$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Pedro Boscardin Dias72c2,044$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.1824350.2%122 W · 121 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Pedro Boscardin Dias58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.213868.4%26 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+40.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3542…c3c8backed Pedro Boscardin Dias52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9601384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.7wins+0.36per pick49cpaid+71.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Elmer Moeller16c1,211$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.1729661.5%182 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd5d…4183backed Elmer Moeller73c1,095$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80014250.7%72 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Pedro Boscardin Dias22c1,001$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.4746030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Pedro Boscardin Dias37c972.97$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.9799139.9%395 W · 596 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Elmer Moeller40c822.46$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33027935.8%100 W · 179 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Elmer Moeller16c813.46$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.142,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Elmer Moeller47c730$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.6599044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Elmer Moeller49c615.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,18762.8%746 W · 441 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Elmer Moeller48c605.21$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.510456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Elmer Moeller42c590.54$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25062534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3d…3ec1backed Elmer Moeller44c589.45$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.279530.5%29 W · 66 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Elmer Moeller23c573.13$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8252133%172 W · 349 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed Pedro Boscardin Dias63c569.67$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.6960943.3%264 W · 345 L-24.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias49c569.67$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.037,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Elmer Moeller39c458.73$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.066,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Elmer Moeller48c439$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.9934744.4%154 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Elmer Moeller48c409$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.3537342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Pedro Boscardin Dias62c365.37$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3772132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44e5…3c33backed Pedro Boscardin Dias54c343.27$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.271963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Pedro Boscardin Dias30c320.36$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.881,98046.2%915 W · 1,065 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Pedro Boscardin Dias62c302.04$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.364,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias59c300$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1243470.6%24 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Elmer Moeller61c297.54$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.542,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Elmer Moeller46c294.2$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3341544.3%184 W · 231 L-1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Elmer Moeller73c272.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20052460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Pedro Boscardin Dias60c251.36$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3684963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x751b…90fbbacked Elmer Moeller63c226.9$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14420758%120 W · 87 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Pedro Boscardin Dias78c224.36$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3669350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Pedro Boscardin Dias51c213.55$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.71,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias27c208.52$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.537,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f41…5c9fbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias29c203.49$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.9115848.7%77 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Elmer Moeller50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias53c193.94$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1516830.4%51 W · 117 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10dd…4831backed Pedro Boscardin Dias52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3111858.5%69 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Elmer Moeller60c183.92$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.914,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias25c150$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.53,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe0b…b449backed Elmer Moeller47c148.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb0…9a6cbacked Elmer Moeller12c146.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.63246.9%15 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Pedro Boscardin Dias30c144.29$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.371,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd150…baddbacked Elmer Moeller48c138.61$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c64…cb26backed Pedro Boscardin Dias62c136.61$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.912441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias62c130.93$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.342,77653.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L+69.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Elmer Moeller38c126.48$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3161953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e7b…9716backed Elmer Moeller44c114.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506134.4%21 W · 40 L-11.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-31.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Elmer Moeller32c112.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3615117.9%27 W · 124 L-9.8wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-42.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Pedro Boscardin Dias68c109.02$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.0454547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db1…d726backed Pedro Boscardin Dias28c103.57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.5711832.2%38 W · 80 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pedro Boscardin Dias28c102$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.951,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Elmer Moeller69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5377967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Pedro Boscardin Dias28c98$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5646649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Elmer Moeller37c94.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3531643%136 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x449e…4f8ebacked Elmer Moeller70c90.37$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8813556.3%76 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Elmer Moeller69c90$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.186470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Pedro Boscardin Dias24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.336850%34 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Elmer Moeller36c82.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Elmer Moeller36c71.68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.863,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x84c6…68dabacked Pedro Boscardin Dias30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.672263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.6wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+51%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Elmer Moeller44c64.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.164,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x537a…7447backed Elmer Moeller46c63.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2130351.8%157 W · 146 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Pedro Boscardin Dias32c62.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.590340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias24c62.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3220554.6%112 W · 93 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Elmer Moeller72c60$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.235559.4%211 W · 144 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias31c56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.854434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xda3f…29ccbacked Elmer Moeller36c54.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4052…2b36backed Pedro Boscardin Dias20c50.56$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+152.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f1…fb49backed Pedro Boscardin Dias28c44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.636634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Pedro Boscardin Dias35c42.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8652457.4%301 W · 223 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x31e5…e2a2backed Elmer Moeller63c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.219762.9%124 W · 73 L+0.7wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Elmer Moeller72c36.05$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9630131.9%96 W · 205 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cc0…4df1backed Elmer Moeller73c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc495…b421backed Elmer Moeller40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1290%0 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfc0b…e980backed Pedro Boscardin Dias53c29.58$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-35.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9baa…db0dbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias67c20.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.882965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.