TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9baa…db0d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT2965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Magda Linette vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$34.56
Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$26.11
Madrid Open: Tomas Machac vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.33
Madrid Open: Anhelina Kalinina vs Kamilla Rakhimovabacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.68
Madrid Open: Janice Tjen vs Alina Charaevabacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$55.47
Murcia: Sebastian Ofner vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.86
Murcia: Jesper de Jong vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.8
Zadar: Lukas Neumayer vs Arthur Geabacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.44
Miami Open: Janice Tjen vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,122.93
Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+121%+$376.38
Miami Open: Alycia Parks vs Sinja Krausbacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$125.77
Zadar: Lukas Neumayer vs Sumit Nagalbacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.69
Zadar: Martin Krumich vs Matej Dodigbacked Martin Krumich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.8
BNP Paribas Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$3.65
Kigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Pol Martin Tiffonbacked Pol Martin Tiffon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.7
Brasilia: Henrique Rocha vs Thiago Monteirobacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+107.9%+$64.59
Hersonissos: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$13.84
Antalya 2: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Moyuka Uchijimabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+48.2%+$9.25
BNP Paribas Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Alexandra Ealabacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Thionville: Hugo Gaston vs Moise Kouamebacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$63.77
Antalya 2: Berfu Cengiz vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Lucia Bronzetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+57.5%+$28.13
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Darja Semenistaja vs Kayla Daybacked Kayla Day · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+25%+$6.11
Brasilia: Pedro Boscardin Dias vs Elmer Moellerbacked Pedro Boscardin Dias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.88
Antalya: Moyuka Uchijima vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Moyuka Uchijima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$12.7
Tigre: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Varillas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.22
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.92
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.3
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.31
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+78.6%+$7.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+30%+$3.43
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+43.9%+$9.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$70.95
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. BYU Cougarsbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.9%+$10.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Henan FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$12.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$42.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.