Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Darja Semenistaja vs Kayla Day
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f6cfb8473ab3a9c71fbfa1b1c3478664fbac99c41d6fac570b4dd59132fc0d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kayla Dayof Darja Semenistaja, Kayla Day
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $145,714
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Darja Semenistaja | 51c | 40,000$20,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,399.92 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Kayla Day | 48c | 15,563$7,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,085.95 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Darja Semenistaja | 50c | 14,651$7,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316.68 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Darja Semenistaja | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.98 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Kayla Day | 49c | 8,582$4,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,412.63 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Darja Semenistaja | 15c | 7,422$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.63 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Kayla Day | 49c | 6,788$3,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,469.81 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Kayla Day | 50c | 6,449$3,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,236.71 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Darja Semenistaja | 53c | 6,047$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,192.7 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Kayla Day | 48c | 4,839$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.15 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a4…0830backed Kayla Day | 50c | 4,673$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,336.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Darja Semenistaja | 51c | 4,388$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.46 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b96…b053backed Darja Semenistaja | 30c | 4,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Kayla Day | 49c | 3,418$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.18 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Kayla Day | 49c | 3,082$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.46 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Kayla Day | 49c | 2,795$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.21 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…2c4ebacked Kayla Day | 50c | 2,624$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…e2ffbacked Kayla Day | 50c | 2,175$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kayla Day | 49c | 1,968$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.57 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…7ecebacked Darja Semenistaja | 53c | 1,891$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.18 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Darja Semenistaja | 51c | 1,878$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.58 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Darja Semenistaja | 52c | 1,757$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fb…19c0backed Darja Semenistaja | 23c | 1,737$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.94 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kayla Day | 75c | 1,694$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.11 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kayla Day | 49c | 1,633$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.65 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…be68backed Darja Semenistaja | 52c | 1,540$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.8 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61e5…2548backed Darja Semenistaja | 51c | 1,460$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Kayla Day | 50c | 1,391$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.27 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Kayla Day | 73c | 1,270$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.52 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…fb82backed Darja Semenistaja | 19c | 1,253$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Kayla Day | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.2 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db1…d726backed Darja Semenistaja | 16c | 1,018$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 118 | 32.2%38 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd359…6007backed Kayla Day | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Kayla Day | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Kayla Day | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Darja Semenistaja | 52c | 961.53$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 205 | 42.4%87 W · 118 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x522a…0076backed Darja Semenistaja | 53c | 946.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Kayla Day | 51c | 888$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.12 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Kayla Day | 47c | 847.43$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.14 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Kayla Day | 46c | 844.22$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.4 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Kayla Day | 78c | 817.09$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.76 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Kayla Day | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…98cfbacked Darja Semenistaja | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Darja Semenistaja | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e5…3c33backed Kayla Day | 50c | 684$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kayla Day | 47c | 642.32$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.43 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Kayla Day | 69c | 626.33$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.33 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Darja Semenistaja | 47c | 583.08$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 279 | 35.8%100 W · 179 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Kayla Day | 49c | 569.59$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.49 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Kayla Day | 50c | 520.83$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.31 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Kayla Day | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 600 | 55.7%334 W · 266 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Kayla Day | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Darja Semenistaja | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kayla Day | 64c | 480.12$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.63 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Kayla Day | 47c | 457.17$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.3 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b00…03a9backed Darja Semenistaja | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Kayla Day | 50c | 432$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Kayla Day | 50c | 400.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.5 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kayla Day | 47c | 376$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.54 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Darja Semenistaja | 25c | 369.05$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.27 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Darja Semenistaja | 21c | 368.25$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.11 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Kayla Day | 53c | 361.06$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.06 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Darja Semenistaja | 22c | 359.86$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.17 | 120 | 32.5%39 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Kayla Day | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5c9fbacked Darja Semenistaja | 50c | 299.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.99 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Kayla Day | 50c | 297.68$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.68 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Kayla Day | 52c | 288.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.47 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Kayla Day | 49c | 270.1$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.75 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kayla Day | 48c | 269.55$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.56 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ca…7502backed Darja Semenistaja | 51c | 265.2$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f4…4c57backed Kayla Day | 50c | 265$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Darja Semenistaja | 23c | 261$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.74 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kayla Day | 66c | 240.83$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Darja Semenistaja | 51c | 237$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.87 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ce…f117backed Kayla Day | 50c | 206$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…ce46backed Darja Semenistaja | 51c | 206$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Darja Semenistaja | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…e65abacked Darja Semenistaja | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Kayla Day | 51c | 196.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.31 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Kayla Day | 49c | 196.06$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Kayla Day | 75c | 188.73$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Kayla Day | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Kayla Day | 49c | 181.8$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.72 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Darja Semenistaja | 20c | 174.2$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Darja Semenistaja | 45c | 173.76$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Darja Semenistaja | 33c | 169.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Darja Semenistaja | 24c | 167$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf97…e6e6backed Kayla Day | 50c | 167$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…1bd7backed Kayla Day | 80c | 166.25$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 109 | 67.9%74 W · 35 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Darja Semenistaja | 51c | 163$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.13 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Kayla Day | 49c | 155$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed Kayla Day | 49c | 146.94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc62…b7ddbacked Kayla Day | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Kayla Day | 50c | 136$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Kayla Day | 49c | 127.36$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.06 | 701 | 48.2%338 W · 363 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…993abacked Kayla Day | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +83%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kayla Day | 55c | 121.6$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Kayla Day | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 294 | 61.9%182 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Kayla Day | 49c | 116.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Kayla Day | 48c | 111.89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Darja Semenistaja vs Kayla Daythis page
- Semenistaja vs. Day: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.