Bundesliga · resolved market

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2865fb58124f1a6ca331cbfe2457639e06ff2c0057166493e3962bceda2c47f

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 28, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $50,102
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $49,758

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,102 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under	42c	8,177$3,434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,743.44	105	53.3%56 W · 49 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	58c	3,000$1,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,739.98	332	44.6%148 W · 184 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under	43c	2,747$1,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,579.15	72	54.2%39 W · 33 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under	43c	2,659$1,143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,515.78	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+2.2wins	+0.15per pick	52cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad5c…664abacked Over	48c	2,536$1,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,219.76	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	58c	1,731$1,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,003.93	387	48.3%187 W · 200 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over	59c	1,691$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	98	56.1%55 W · 43 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over	54c	1,220$659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659.01	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Over	57c	1,010$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.69	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over	25c	1,003$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.37	100	26%26 W · 74 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed Under	41c	999.93$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$589.96	62	56.5%35 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over	59c	888$524 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$523.92	134	61.9%83 W · 51 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	59c	847.46$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	187	59.4%111 W · 76 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under	43c	756$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430.92	98	54.1%53 W · 45 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Over	58c	700$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under	42c	624.99$262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.49	220	47.3%104 W · 116 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	44c	621.2$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.9	3,284	42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L	-74.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64a7…e89dbacked Over	55c	600.51$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.28	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Over	58c	599.97$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.98	30	50%15 W · 15 L	+2.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	23c	576.79$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.7	2,538	39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L	-8.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed Over	14c	550$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.6	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bdf…56f5backed Over	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	41c	419.69$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.53	341	44.6%152 W · 189 L	-8.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x672a…abb7backed Over	59c	381.36$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under	60c	333.33$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.33	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+56.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over	60c	333.33$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	108	63%68 W · 40 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under	45c	333$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.15	486	58.6%285 W · 201 L	+44.5wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+33%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	58c	304.57$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.63	1,681	45.2%759 W · 922 L	+6.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Over	59c	252.54$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149	58	48.3%28 W · 30 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over	59c	250$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.5	31	67.7%21 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	62cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	41c	232.18$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.99	636	45.1%287 W · 349 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over	59c	220.34$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	264	33.3%88 W · 176 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7903…df88backed Under	50c	220$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.39per pick	62cpaid	+68.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	74c	217.47$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.65	1,013	44.5%451 W · 562 L	-8.2wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	71c	216.7$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.47	1,305	40.8%532 W · 773 L	-42.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under	41c	200$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118	311	45%140 W · 171 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Over	58c	200$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	116	44.8%52 W · 64 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under	41c	200$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+3.7wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+34.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under	42c	200$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under	67c	189.03$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.62	191	39.8%76 W · 115 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7b1…aeeabacked Over	59c	186.44$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.59per pick	59cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over	57c	179.97$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.58	115	43.5%50 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee4…ace2backed Over	58c	172.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	41c	172$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.48	300	54%162 W · 138 L	+10.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over	20c	152.94$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.59	128	32%41 W · 87 L	-9.8wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under	42c	150$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	-4.5wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e7b…9716backed Over	60c	143.99$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.23	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+14%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61c6…2e9fbacked Over	59c	141.34$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.39	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c71…22dbbacked Over	22c	112.68$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.79	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Under	42c	107.93$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.6	50	38%19 W · 31 L	+4.0wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over	59c	101.69$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	221	57%126 W · 95 L	+10.6wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	82	43.9%36 W · 46 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over	38c	100$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	388	45.6%177 W · 211 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…5fbbbacked Over	60c	100$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe252…2071backed Under	41c	100$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d6e…e9e3backed Over	59c	100$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over	39c	100$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	57	42.1%24 W · 33 L	+2.5wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked Under	45c	100$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+3.1wins	+0.31per pick	39cpaid	+151%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Over	59c	100$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	+2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Over	58c	100$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c16…c36fbacked Over	30c	100$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05bb…1879backed Over	59c	90.53$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.41	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	63cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over	58c	86.2$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	373	44.5%166 W · 207 L	-15.1wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over	17c	85.52$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.63	109	43.1%47 W · 62 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over	59c	84.92$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	82	46.3%38 W · 44 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over	59c	84.75$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	209	57.4%120 W · 89 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked Under	58c	79.2$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.5	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0aa0…be2dbacked Under	43c	75.77$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.13	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+2.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+105.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3798…2e72backed Over	25c	74.09$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	33cpaid	+41%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over	20c	74.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.06	139	57.6%80 W · 59 L	+10.9wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under	43c	72$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.04	73	32.9%24 W · 49 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over	36c	69.44$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	253	52.2%132 W · 121 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over	59c	67.98$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.86	66	59.1%39 W · 27 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc884…a4e6backed Over	59c	62.71$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92b6…eb83backed Over	50c	60.21$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over	21c	60$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.3	79	62%49 W · 30 L	+10.4wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Over	30c	60$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.7	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	+4.6wins	+0.12per pick	34cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc078…f854backed Over	59c	55.17$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.33	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.2wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6632…6dc2backed Under	43c	55$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.35	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.57per pick	43cpaid	+132.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Under	43c	50$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.5	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+4.3wins	+0.20per pick	49cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbf9…7560backed Under	42c	47.62$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.62	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-2.8wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1230…58e9backed Under	42c	47.07$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.07	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.58per pick	42cpaid	+135.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefff…c0efbacked Under	65c	46.15$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.15	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.35per pick	60cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x132f…e7bbbacked Over	59c	45$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.55	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.35per pick	55cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over	28c	44.54$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.46	306	47.1%144 W · 162 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Over	59c	42.37$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	46	41.3%19 W · 27 L	-3.8wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over	37c	40.54$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	129	51.2%66 W · 63 L	+12.1wins	+0.09per pick	42cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d2a…fa90backed Over	53c	40.38$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under	79c	40$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.4	86	65.1%56 W · 30 L	+9.0wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	63	39.7%25 W · 38 L	-5.8wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ba0…e885backed Over	59c	37.28$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-2.9wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x75e1…1b07backed Under	55c	36.36$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.36	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Over	59c	33.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over	59c	33.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-3.3wins	-0.14per pick	56cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Over	58c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.4	44	27.3%12 W · 32 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under	42c	29.46$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.09	62	41.9%26 W · 36 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	58c	28.11$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.3	358	56.4%202 W · 156 L	+19.9wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f2c…9d16backed Over	47c	25.53$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa3…ea8dbacked Over	59c	25.42$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd162…72aabacked Under	80c	25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	21	76.2%16 W · 5 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	65cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5this page
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 1.5Over won
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5Under won
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-2.5)Bayer 04 Leverkusen won
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)1. FSV Mainz 05 won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event