Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Marina Stakusic vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0813f1b9abfa617e320bf8fc3a5198d36620fa19d00afcda411f3a298eff546
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marina Stakusicof Marina Stakusic, Mananchaya Sawangkaew
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3ae5…ead2backed Marina Stakusic | 53c | 7,523$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,523.26 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 40c | 5,684$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.57 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4720…007bbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 41c | 2,681$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.4 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 49c | 1,731$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.24 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 45c | 1,121$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.15 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 47c | 1,097$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.56 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marina Stakusic | 57c | 952.19$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.85 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Marina Stakusic | 56c | 312.5$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Marina Stakusic | 61c | 286.47$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.15 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 25c | 254.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 279 | 35.8%100 W · 179 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Marina Stakusic | 53c | 248$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.56 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Marina Stakusic | 65c | 244.44$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Marina Stakusic | 50c | 213.09$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.55 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 14c | 211.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Marina Stakusic | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Marina Stakusic | 63c | 187$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Marina Stakusic | 63c | 185.9$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.78 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Marina Stakusic | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Marina Stakusic | 55c | 179$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.55 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Marina Stakusic | 62c | 162.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.27 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63d…a59bbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 10c | 147.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Marina Stakusic | 63c | 130$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Marina Stakusic | 55c | 105.11$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 18c | 98.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Marina Stakusic | 64c | 95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 43c | 92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 47c | 90.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 152 | 48.7%74 W · 78 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Marina Stakusic | 57c | 87.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7b…9716backed Marina Stakusic | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -11.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 45c | 66.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Marina Stakusic | 67c | 61.65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Marina Stakusic | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Marina Stakusic | 53c | 45.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Marina Stakusic | 56c | 44.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 433 | 53.6%232 W · 201 L | +32.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…73f1backed Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 58.8%97 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Marina Stakusic | 55c | 41.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Marina Stakusic | 78c | 32.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c49…50e2backed Marina Stakusic | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Marina Stakusic | 78c | 19.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Marina Stakusic vs Mananchaya Sawangkaewthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Stakusic vs SawangkaewStakusic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.