Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia to score first vs. Ghana?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5442fcf7a266c0bcb1982cf5e177ed6d27a8cf754c2344ffa55ff7d663d2ab55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 72c | 12,746$9,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,618.21 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 29c | 3,998$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.82 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 29c | 3,500$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.98 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 70c | 3,451$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.04 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 29c | 2,977$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.62 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 29c | 2,958$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.5 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 28c | 1,990$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.27 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 29c | 1,925$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.43 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 28c | 1,782$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.52 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 1c | 1,300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 29c | 1,100$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.99 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 29c | 769.09$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.66 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed Yes | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 284 | 44.4%126 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 28c | 501.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.13 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 28c | 391.55$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.46 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…13adbacked Yes | 72c | 365.28$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb44…a8a2backed Yes | 72c | 309.47$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 29c | 300.3$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.9 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 19c | 256.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…720fbacked Yes | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 21c | 236.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b21…b8debacked Yes | 73c | 199.7$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.7 | 89 | 12.4%11 W · 78 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…695bbacked Yes | 72c | 198.17$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 70c | 180.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.14 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257a…b42abacked Yes | 72c | 180.56$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 165 | 24.2%40 W · 125 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 69c | 180.05$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 69c | 176.54$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bab…45dcbacked Yes | 75c | 161.23$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 12c | 148.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6b17backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da4…b772backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…b496backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…8eb3backed No | 30c | 104.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…e4c9backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 123 | 65.9%81 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 71c | 99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 30c | 95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 13c | 90.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Yes | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 381 | 55.4%211 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3f…db55backed Yes | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed No | 31c | 83.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 322 | 45.3%146 W · 176 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 28c | 80.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f41…b3a3backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e9…736dbacked Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 297 | 66.7%198 W · 99 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…1fc6backed No | 30c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 72c | 68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 28c | 60.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes | 70c | 52.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 30c | 49.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…f41abacked No | 31c | 44.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 257 | 48.6%125 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…0f18backed Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1827…42bcbacked No | 30c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…bcf7backed No | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 369 | 53.9%199 W · 170 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7640…1aedbacked No | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x378f…a862backed No | 31c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 329 | 43.8%144 W · 185 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 28c | 40.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 28c | 40.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 28c | 40.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 28c | 40.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd800…c256backed Yes | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 313 | 58.1%182 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0076…b1b6backed Yes | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72fb…f5d4backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf86…25abbacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c92…9cd9backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf7…0fb8backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b53…4722backed Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1662…9b28backed Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…8274backed Yes | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…c781backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…33fabacked Yes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 375 | 26.1%98 W · 277 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44db…e66fbacked Yes | 72c | 17.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf45d…5b2dbacked Yes | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia to score first vs. Ghana?this page
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Neither team to score first?No won
- Ghana to score first vs. Colombia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.