Fifa International · resolved market
Ghana to score first vs. Colombia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4176800eba65f1d4dd2f86235c1278ded3ae4fc0d0d9fd051fbdaa951e8e3670
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,630
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c16…04f7backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 156 | 21.8%34 W · 122 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 23c | 4,365$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.95 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 23c | 4,214$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.38 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 77c | 3,989$3,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.76 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 3,593$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.66 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 3,243$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.11 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 22c | 2,349$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.55 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 77c | 2,112$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.91 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 77c | 1,925$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.03 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 76c | 1,788$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.38 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 1,695$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.04 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 77c | 769.1$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.02 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 78c | 549.98$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 23c | 499.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4268…542bbacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 77c | 406.28$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.44 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 77c | 331.99$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.47 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…0d48backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 77c | 188.07$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05e…52c7backed Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…720fbacked Yes | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 78c | 173.23$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66cb…618ebacked Yes | 30c | 134.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 22c | 127$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 24c | 125.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 202 | 27.2%55 W · 147 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 69c | 107.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cc…769cbacked Yes | 23c | 104.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 78c | 101.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 129 | 14.7%19 W · 110 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 78c | 98.39$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…3682backed Yes | 25c | 96.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 77c | 95$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 79c | 91.64$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…5487backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a6…456cbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 77c | 69.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 285 | 35.8%102 W · 183 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…7bd2backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 78c | 61.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 21c | 60.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…33fabacked Yes | 30c | 50.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 375 | 26.1%98 W · 277 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 77c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 69c | 44.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7640…1aedbacked No | 79c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…c482backed No | 76c | 38.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 78c | 34.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 77c | 29.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked No | 77c | 29.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 77c | 21.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…bcf7backed No | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 369 | 53.9%199 W · 170 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 76c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 78c | 14.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ghana to score first vs. Colombia?this page
- Colombia to score first vs. Ghana?Yes won
- Colombia vs. Ghana: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.