Fifa International · resolved market
Colombia to score first vs. Switzerland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5ddde8ce839a64bfd517b1e10e75cc36b9de4e2584baf4b2d1fadfcb363199b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $336,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $336,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $336,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 184 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 126,269$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.65 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aff…f9cebacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Yes | 7c | 10,927$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.57 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 38c | 10,814$4,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,085.53 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes | 53c | 10,200$5,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,406 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b52…d48dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad51…dbaebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ae…3c7dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 20cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 47c | 8,000$3,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,239.83 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 53c | 7,891$4,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,182.23 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed No | 47c | 7,358$3,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,899.7 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 48c | 6,665$3,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,492.7 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 47c | 6,293$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,316.64 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 47c | 5,966$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,161.93 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.98 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 53c | 3,622$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.57 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 7c | 3,143$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.74 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 6c | 3,068$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.64 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 5c | 2,941$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…0a97backed Yes | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 52 | 17.3%9 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 5c | 2,693$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.68 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 65c | 2,506$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.05 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c1…4837backed Yes | 53c | 1,906$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4268…542bbacked Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…d8fdbacked Yes | 54c | 1,850$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e17…9d3cbacked Yes | 53c | 1,842$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.16 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…c482backed Yes | 50c | 1,833$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.23 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 47c | 1,547$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.9 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 47c | 1,408$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.23 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 59c | 1,340$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.58 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 48c | 1,204$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.32 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226c…7d87backed Yes | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 74c | 1,093$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.68 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e3…935dbacked Yes | 51c | 984.35$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 47c | 974.91$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.7 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 47c | 942.22$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.38 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 47c | 903.9$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.07 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 67c | 808.46$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.08 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 58c | 734.34$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.58 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 49c | 611.61$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.29 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…dd3bbacked Yes | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 47c | 548.4$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.17 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 530.01$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc779…8e4fbacked Yes | 53c | 453.28$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…3f71backed Yes | 53c | 384.91$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 224 | 19.6%44 W · 180 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…dc7ebacked Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x382e…4f6bbacked Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 52c | 361.52$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.79 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb44…a8a2backed Yes | 53c | 339.77$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a6…2368backed Yes | 53c | 316.09$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 47c | 313.58$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.56 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…1975backed Yes | 53c | 305.66$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…815fbacked Yes | 33c | 303.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…e24fbacked Yes | 53c | 281.34$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.11 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…3d44backed No | 55c | 275.58$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.41 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 47c | 265$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.45 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 47c | 265$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.45 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 47c | 264.49$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.79 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06f…6571backed Yes | 31c | 260.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Yes | 50c | 209.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 96 | 64.6%62 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked Yes | 22c | 205.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa71b…82c1backed Yes | 52c | 201.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce4…ed80backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe62f…fca5backed Yes | 53c | 188.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…81c8backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 235 | 54.9%129 W · 106 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…43e2backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 281 | 34.5%97 W · 184 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0415…0ae5backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…f2b3backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da4…b772backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4768…4126backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…1fc7backed Yes | 53c | 187.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 68c | 176$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 55c | 174.18$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Yes | 52c | 173.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ad…1014backed Yes | 53c | 165.42$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 31c | 157.54$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bed…85b8backed Yes | 28c | 153.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8545…d84bbacked Yes | 49c | 146.15$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…c961backed Yes | 53c | 141.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x129e…78cfbacked No | 47c | 139.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.19 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f9…7eefbacked Yes | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4104…636fbacked Yes | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257a…b42abacked Yes | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 165 | 24.2%40 W · 125 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…fd32backed Yes | 53c | 105.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x228d…a448backed Yes | 23c | 103.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…aac8backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37b…2e2bbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…19a8backed Yes | 51c | 97.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8a…0acdbacked Yes | 52c | 96.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 35.8%102 W · 183 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc356…b3a8backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e0…5885backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colombia to score first vs. Switzerland?this page
- Switzerland to score first vs. Colombia?No won
- Switzerland vs. Colombia: Neither team to score first?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.