Asian League · resolved market
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-07-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae50f24144f1a8aaaff93282c540ee0c684c668b11978e8a67213eb030657899
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 61c | 3,357$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,046.56 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 39c | 2,171$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.74 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked No | 48c | 1,600$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 40c | 1,245$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 62c | 1,026$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 20c | 785.06$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.02 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1a…4d5bbacked No | 46c | 763.51$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Yes | 14c | 579.79$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.85 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +8.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 55c | 442.41$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.33 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 37c | 304.55$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.52 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 267.23$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.55 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 37c | 226$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.38 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Yes | 64c | 204.69$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 63c | 138.96$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…48b9backed Yes | 71c | 125.06$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 61c | 95.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 63c | 94.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 37c | 81.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 43c | 58.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed No | 42c | 57.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +10.5wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed No | 42c | 54.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…b2cebacked No | 38c | 52.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 67c | 46.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6384…3d67backed Yes | 63c | 46.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 52c | 43.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Yes | 63c | 31.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b76…4f2dbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 36c | 28.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Yes | 52c | 26.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Yes | 59c | 22.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-07-04?this page
- Will FC Anyang vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Anyang win on 2026-07-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.