Asian League · resolved market
Will FC Anyang vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x342428334712c732e2228af82c1bd3a3166cbb57f5364d4c70f9a60c220bd02e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53e1…f420backed Yes | 33c | 981.82$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 899.85$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.24 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 26c | 879.48$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.72 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 52c | 196.44$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.08 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 74c | 183.51$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 176.83$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked No | 68c | 159.38$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf1…d61abacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 33c | 152.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 67c | 125.59$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Yes | 49c | 93.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 24c | 85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 69c | 57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…dc21backed No | 58c | 55.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 32c | 46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 75c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 42c | 36.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 33c | 36.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 65c | 31.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 67c | 31.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Anyang vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Anyang win on 2026-07-04?No won
- Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-07-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.