CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cc7d118cf546b54045b8fcce2ab8fa7a4c8b0e170e74763d7afbadd21481e67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leo Teamof KOLESIE, Leo Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,418 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c3a…5c97backed KOLESIE | 2c | 4,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…fe3bbacked KOLESIE | 1c | 3,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed KOLESIE | 1c | 3,400$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked KOLESIE | 2c | 3,236$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 329 | 30.4%100 W · 229 L | -21.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c10…544abacked KOLESIE | 1c | 2,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked KOLESIE | 45c | 1,868$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.3 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed KOLESIE | 48c | 1,570$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.2 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed KOLESIE | 34c | 1,201$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.34 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed KOLESIE | 42c | 704.92$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.47 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Leo Team | 59c | 599.81$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.88 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KOLESIE | 10c | 522.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Leo Team | 50c | 494.02$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.34 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Leo Team | 64c | 491.07$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.63 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked KOLESIE | 20c | 453.86$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Leo Team | 65c | 446.47$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.52 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Leo Team | 55c | 393.22$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.95 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Leo Team | 43c | 235$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 184 | 54.3%100 W · 84 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed KOLESIE | 27c | 188.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.81 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Leo Team | 63c | 188$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Leo Team | 62c | 180.16$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed KOLESIE | 46c | 168$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.25 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Leo Team | 53c | 167.58$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.22 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Leo Team | 62c | 143$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Leo Team | 61c | 139$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…5738backed KOLESIE | 27c | 134.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…4c35backed KOLESIE | 26c | 126.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked KOLESIE | 23c | 122.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed KOLESIE | 23c | 120.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed KOLESIE | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Leo Team | 60c | 109$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed KOLESIE | 25c | 100.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Leo Team | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Leo Team | 57c | 92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Leo Team | 55c | 88.41$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 303 | 35.6%108 W · 195 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Leo Team | 59c | 86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf342…1e14backed KOLESIE | 36c | 85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed KOLESIE | 31c | 82.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked KOLESIE | 44c | 82.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked KOLESIE | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Leo Team | 55c | 74.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed KOLESIE | 29c | 72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…46b5backed Leo Team | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…4046backed Leo Team | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…5abebacked Leo Team | 44c | 68.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked KOLESIE | 52c | 63.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed KOLESIE | 19c | 63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 392 | 39.8%156 W · 236 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Leo Team | 40c | 53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8f…d33abacked KOLESIE | 58c | 52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Leo Team | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed KOLESIE | 29c | 49.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed KOLESIE | 57c | 49.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d6…f0a0backed Leo Team | 44c | 45.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed KOLESIE | 46c | 42.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Leo Team | 50c | 42.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 284 | 34.9%99 W · 185 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed KOLESIE | 42c | 41.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed KOLESIE | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked KOLESIE | 55c | 31.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Leo Team | 62c | 24.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…e59ebacked KOLESIE | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed Leo Team | 59c | 19.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd63…22a8backed Leo Team | 77c | 19.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Leo Team | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…da9fbacked Leo Team | 79c | 17.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team - Map 1 WinnerLeo Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.