TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x68cc…5abe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT2119%4 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.6
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.9
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.34
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.46
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.33
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.47
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+252.2%+$178.47
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.58
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.75
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+482.3%+$188.9
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.22
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.34
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.3
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.9
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Gujarat Titansbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.07
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.43
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+155.4%+$82.07
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$36.5
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.92
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.11
All 21 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+87.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.