TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Leo Teamof Phantom, Leo Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,791

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,791 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Leo Team54c4,852$2,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,244.343,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd72…8dd1backed Leo Team52c3,367$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.521050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Leo Team58c3,292$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,367.5584454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec3…750abacked Phantom41c2,620$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81a2…fce1backed Leo Team59c2,620$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Leo Team57c2,595$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.555,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Phantom42c2,080$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.6946243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7bd…b013backed Phantom49c2,032$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9326…13cabacked Phantom48c1,819$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc07d…fffbbacked Phantom16c1,775$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.11010%1 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5820…474ebacked Leo Team52c1,311$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom43c1,292$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.096,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…6a15backed Phantom43c1,261$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.96237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce8b…6bc7backed Leo Team71c988.57$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.574158.5%24 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb6f…bc62backed Phantom50c881$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Phantom41c729.95$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.132,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Phantom35c709.49$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.8856732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2935…3335backed Leo Team50c663$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+152.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Phantom44c648$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.1210445.2%47 W · 57 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x059e…54d1backed Leo Team59c635.76$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.265955.9%33 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41d3…557ebacked Leo Team52c635$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.8650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+54.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e20…96fdbacked Phantom48c616$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.38250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Phantom39c563.49$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.769842.9%42 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafa7…9f8fbacked Leo Team52c510$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+120%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Leo Team30c508.84$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.2652947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa57e…ed54backed Phantom42c479.76$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006741.8%28 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e06…95d1backed Leo Team51c468.54$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.29757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Phantom43c429.44$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.6610841.7%45 W · 63 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…73b6backed Phantom50c414$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee26…dc8bbacked Leo Team50c378$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.08666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+45.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Phantom45c368$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.356858.8%40 W · 28 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x288d…8261backed Leo Team50c354$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Leo Team75c351.21$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.725,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x974a…98c3backed Phantom58c344$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.162556%14 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Phantom41c341.18$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.051,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Phantom41c327.94$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9614137.6%53 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7bf9…be26backed Phantom32c316.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003253.1%17 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick66cpaid-14.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Leo Team56c307.95$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.520238.6%78 W · 124 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Phantom70c305.97$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.7621956.2%123 W · 96 L+14.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Phantom42c304.91$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.833,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8945…640bbacked Leo Team53c290.54$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.4426257.6%151 W · 111 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Leo Team52c279.19$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9623858%138 W · 100 L+13.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Leo Team71c270$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0595849.8%477 W · 481 L-17.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Phantom44c268.51$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.822,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3314…a8c7backed Leo Team77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.74475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc2f…a15fbacked Leo Team58c250$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.9919055.8%106 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebf8…7d2bbacked Leo Team21c250$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.515355.6%85 W · 68 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5ad…4984backed Leo Team50c245$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c19…688fbacked Phantom50c238$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…a679backed Phantom44c225$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9917247.7%82 W · 90 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdcc…e679backed Phantom17c213$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.21955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49eb…e685backed Phantom16c211$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.761060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a04…9200backed Phantom16c204$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.64650%3 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+372.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Leo Team51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9847641.6%198 W · 278 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked Phantom43c199.03$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5970038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Phantom42c190$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.85625%14 W · 42 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Leo Team57c182.39$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.127,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Phantom56c180$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.852750.7%267 W · 260 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Phantom55c177.03$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6338037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc78…a301backed Phantom42c175.25$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.611543.5%50 W · 65 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phantom30c174.71$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.085,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Phantom39c174.55$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.291,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3d3…9b8fbacked Leo Team50c169$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf557…b323backed Leo Team75c168.83$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Leo Team56c162.37$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7580744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed Phantom25c160.9$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.37034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-17.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x892d…c1e6backed Phantom50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Phantom49c156.59$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7339239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c3…2149backed Phantom43c156.45$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683557.1%20 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Leo Team53c149.9$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.91,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16e3…793dbacked Leo Team76c146.95$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Leo Team63c143.99$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9441…928abacked Leo Team56c142$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.48933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ec…53c3backed Phantom11c138.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-58.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Phantom46c134.43$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.3252755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x382d…eb3abacked Leo Team75c133.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8725250.4%127 W · 125 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x907f…cee9backed Phantom44c131$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Leo Team55c130.8$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8684958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd4d8…c3f8backed Phantom20c120$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2411242%47 W · 65 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68cc…5abebacked Leo Team45c119.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f8…2d11backed Phantom50c116$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Phantom45c112.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.255,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Leo Team56c112.46$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.931,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Leo Team45c111.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.4611538.3%44 W · 71 L-15.6wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-35.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Phantom24c110.05$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.171,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Phantom39c109.51$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5331440.1%126 W · 188 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Leo Team51c104.2$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.654,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed70…4f63backed Leo Team56c103.02$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.022630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-35.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Phantom48c103$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.3210956.9%62 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Leo Team54c101.43$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.928660.1%172 W · 114 L+17.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Leo Team57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Leo Team21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dde…5e80backed Phantom43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Phantom44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4497230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x76bc…2a5ebacked Leo Team52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Phantom29c99.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3439245.9%180 W · 212 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cfb…f786backed Phantom32c94.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013119.8%26 W · 105 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Phantom70c93.92$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Leo Team57c92.07$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9521952.5%115 W · 104 L+11.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb968…3930backed Leo Team55c91.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.45475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+35%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.