TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Antalya 2: Katarzyna Kawa vs Ipek Oz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Katarzyna Kawaof Katarzyna Kawa, Ipek Oz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,786

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,786 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4173…d3edbacked Ipek Oz48c10,411$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000.0355646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Katarzyna Kawa70c8,993$6,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,669.238,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed Katarzyna Kawa50c7,160$3,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,579.7917462.6%109 W · 65 L+34.2wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+35.2%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Ipek Oz19c5,696$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.6430241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Katarzyna Kawa67c3,988$2,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.096,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Ipek Oz21c3,895$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.172,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Ipek Oz18c2,341$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42798240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Katarzyna Kawa67c1,667$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.212,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Ipek Oz26c1,629$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.662,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Ipek Oz15c1,561$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.9262534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Katarzyna Kawa73c1,340$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.5881349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Ipek Oz43c1,250$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.51,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Ipek Oz40c1,227$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.911,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Ipek Oz41c1,156$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.1123731.6%75 W · 162 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Katarzyna Kawa57c1,146$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.148552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd2…b33cbacked Katarzyna Kawa58c1,056$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Katarzyna Kawa58c1,035$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.741,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Katarzyna Kawa76c976.95$742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.4764065.9%422 W · 218 L+2.9wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fc4…0947backed Ipek Oz42c947$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Katarzyna Kawa58c928$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.8334744.4%154 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc22…5738backed Ipek Oz18c889.95$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.47616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-75.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Katarzyna Kawa58c850$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35778152.8%412 W · 369 L+21.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Katarzyna Kawa58c802$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.0173745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Ipek Oz39c776.34$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.451,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d4…7e8ebacked Ipek Oz42c763$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Katarzyna Kawa58c763$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.7299044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Katarzyna Kawa61c741$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.0946649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x093a…1b3fbacked Katarzyna Kawa61c727.87$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.8727566.5%183 W · 92 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0300…7bb4backed Ipek Oz17c615$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x530d…8720backed Katarzyna Kawa58c563$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Ipek Oz30c512.22$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.662,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Katarzyna Kawa59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.4752460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc78…a592backed Ipek Oz44c435$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ce…bdcfbacked Katarzyna Kawa75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006168.9%42 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Katarzyna Kawa61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1567342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Katarzyna Kawa60c399.98$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.991,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Katarzyna Kawa57c380$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.41,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e0e…b2ddbacked Katarzyna Kawa68c367.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6510100%10 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ipek Oz31c329.47$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.67,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5302…c0dfbacked Katarzyna Kawa58c326$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Ipek Oz32c302.06$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6646932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f41…5c9fbacked Katarzyna Kawa61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11715848.7%77 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Ipek Oz31c280.65$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Ipek Oz35c278.61$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.531,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ff7…4176backed Katarzyna Kawa58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Katarzyna Kawa55c237.68$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.113,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Katarzyna Kawa57c232.55$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10042046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Katarzyna Kawa63c230.99$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.537,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Katarzyna Kawa67c227$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.911,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Katarzyna Kawa58c220.69$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.699870.4%69 W · 29 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Ipek Oz18c217.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfd6…05cbbacked Katarzyna Kawa58c206.42$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.84658.7%27 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f7d…99f8backed Katarzyna Kawa58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Ipek Oz20c186.56$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9828835.1%101 W · 187 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Ipek Oz31c164.52$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5196035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Ipek Oz7c151.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.531,87016%299 W · 1,571 L-314.3wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-65.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Katarzyna Kawa69c144.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.032,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Ipek Oz38c140$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9885748.2%413 W · 444 L+33.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ipek Oz31c134.92$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.833,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e7…a447backed Katarzyna Kawa78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.214560%27 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Katarzyna Kawa59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4132842.7%140 W · 188 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1186…0d03backed Ipek Oz30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016657.8%96 W · 70 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d62…8fb4backed Ipek Oz21c92.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.51612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-74.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Katarzyna Kawa56c87$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.213,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Ipek Oz40c78.19$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3116340.5%66 W · 97 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Katarzyna Kawa69c78$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1832147%151 W · 170 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Katarzyna Kawa60c66.25$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.58855.7%49 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Katarzyna Kawa67c62.81$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.96,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Katarzyna Kawa68c51.11$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5215650%78 W · 78 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Ipek Oz43c51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9319634.2%67 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9770…ae82backed Katarzyna Kawa78c41.57$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+58.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0948…c11cbacked Katarzyna Kawa57c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.21060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccc2…9d94backed Ipek Oz32c36.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.78231.7%26 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Ipek Oz36c34.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.527546.5%128 W · 147 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Ipek Oz35c34.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1295742.1%403 W · 554 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Katarzyna Kawa59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.990340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Katarzyna Kawa59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.994060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Katarzyna Kawa57c32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7625957.5%149 W · 110 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x161f…d3f4backed Katarzyna Kawa59c31.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.924060%24 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b4…127bbacked Katarzyna Kawa80c28.25$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.65683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x320f…1420backed Katarzyna Kawa61c28$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9222258.1%129 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd29a…d236backed Katarzyna Kawa61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.592060%12 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd944…07d5backed Katarzyna Kawa64c24.57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.861291.7%11 W · 1 L+4.4wins+0.36per pick55cpaid+70.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Katarzyna Kawa75c23.24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8845147.2%213 W · 238 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10cd…2da0backed Katarzyna Kawa70c22.18$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.762147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3873…dec8backed Katarzyna Kawa59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.216468.9%113 W · 51 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a9f…3544backed Katarzyna Kawa78c14.55$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.16742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.