Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. James Madison Dukes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x655ff4c83e56eb17133b783dee53b5960e538b83dd8e741edb4be3931e028b89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- James Madison Dukesof Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns, James Madison Dukes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 7c | 7,717$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.02 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…5738backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 27c | 4,245$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked James Madison Dukes | 76c | 4,147$3,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.94 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 9c | 3,716$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.81 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa330…9d33backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 22c | 1,741$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.03 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 23c | 746.11$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.88 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 11c | 723.89$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked James Madison Dukes | 73c | 677.09$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.16 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 8c | 546.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 8c | 538.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e57…be4fbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 27c | 469.59$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 5c | 375.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc8…7f4bbacked James Madison Dukes | 80c | 250$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 61 | 9.8%6 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked James Madison Dukes | 76c | 188.41$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…ae69backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 28c | 178.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b5…bd15backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 28c | 177.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked James Madison Dukes | 72c | 156.69$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 23c | 149.07$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2010…7127backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 11c | 127.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…18bfbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 27c | 73.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…b4a6backed James Madison Dukes | 71c | 70.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 26c | 39.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked James Madison Dukes | 75c | 37.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…e416backed James Madison Dukes | 72c | 37.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed James Madison Dukes | 73c | 20.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c77…6e76backed James Madison Dukes | 73c | 17.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. James Madison Dukesthis page
- Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. James Madison Dukes: O/U 133.5Over won
- Spread: James Madison Dukes (-5.5)James Madison Dukes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.