South American Leagues · resolved market
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-03-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8141a17d268d1306593254a574533ed3b0dba7e6a6699dd0a0500c611c290017
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,150 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 25c | 17,993$4,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,498.34 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 78c | 12,935$10,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,891.85 | 5,821 | 45.4%2,642 W · 3,179 L | +97.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Yes | 23c | 7,467$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.9 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 6,005$4,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.28 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 4,965$3,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.88 | 3,446 | 51.4%1,771 W · 1,675 L | +21.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked No | 73c | 4,790$3,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.11 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 29c | 4,534$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.7 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 69c | 4,313$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.29 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 11c | 3,608$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.65 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3497…812bbacked Yes | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 3,155$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.18 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Yes | 22c | 2,315$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.39 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 77c | 2,210$1,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.12 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…ca52backed Yes | 30c | 1,639$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.75 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 69c | 1,604$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.25 | 226 | 57.1%129 W · 97 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 71c | 1,489$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.81 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 23c | 1,278$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.16 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed No | 72c | 1,242$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 31c | 1,129$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…77d6backed No | 73c | 962$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 28c | 800.99$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.28 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f3…e4a1backed No | 71c | 640$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 70c | 599.98$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.99 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…aa15backed No | 72c | 595.83$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 525.82$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.66 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 29c | 524.14$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 72c | 506$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.68 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…8a18backed No | 72c | 504$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 1,362 | 49.8%678 W · 684 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 31c | 489.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 27c | 401$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.76 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…dc8cbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Yes | 27c | 344$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.73 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 72c | 342.47$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.89 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 72c | 339.29$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 70c | 332.3$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.69 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0d…82c9backed No | 72c | 321$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed No | 71c | 317.07$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.28 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked No | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 70c | 299.98$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 6c | 292.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked No | 71c | 280$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 272.7$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 1,442 | 51.9%748 W · 694 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 28c | 267.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 263.34$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.72 | 1,678 | 50.8%853 W · 825 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…8243backed No | 71c | 256$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed No | 71c | 256$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 6c | 250$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 2,346 | 51.4%1,207 W · 1,139 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 230.34$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 1,465 | 56.8%832 W · 633 L | +55.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 21c | 206.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 875 | 21.3%186 W · 689 L | -83.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed No | 73c | 202$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 191 | 33.5%64 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Yes | 25c | 199.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed No | 73c | 189$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09f7…3698backed Yes | 28c | 172.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 71c | 167.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…f579backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef6…e31abacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 150.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 70c | 144$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dde…e011backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 71c | 141.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 74c | 139.75$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…e77ebacked Yes | 30c | 138$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180f…aa51backed Yes | 29c | 132.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 130.42$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 1,257 | 53.6%674 W · 583 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 71c | 124$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3218…a011backed No | 71c | 124$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 123.71$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 1,305 | 53.6%700 W · 605 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Yes | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ec…9a1cbacked Yes | 30c | 116.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe758…cb71backed Yes | 30c | 114$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 71c | 112.66$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 25c | 112.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 28c | 108.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…1ad7backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf52…555ebacked Yes | 29c | 103.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Yes | 29c | 100.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6040…33a9backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1471…679dbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…4f91backed No | 80c | 93.87$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…cb37backed Yes | 31c | 81.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 29c | 79.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 679 | 48.2%327 W · 352 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed Yes | 28c | 79.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-03-18?this page
- Will CA Mineiro vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?No won
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-03-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.