TailMyPicks
Market

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-03-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$78,262

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,262 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x036c…178dbacked No63c10,086$6,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,731.8714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.41per pick55cpaid-77.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Yes37c8,676$3,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,21030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed No68c5,049$3,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.653043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes23c4,381$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.7846644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No70c4,376$3,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.956471.9%46 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c3,160$1,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.7498844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9812055%66 W · 54 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes34c2,493$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.0614843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cbc…c413backed Yes58c1,724$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0178…3f7abacked No71c1,675$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.882878.6%22 W · 6 L+5.3wins+0.19per pick60cpaid+48.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes36c1,382$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.9122652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes38c1,317$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes14c1,197$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.1823551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed Yes26c1,135$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes36c1,112$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.082835.7%10 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes35c859.63$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.873729.7%11 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No77c759.98$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.5911063.6%70 W · 40 L+9.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No44c681.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.828139.5%32 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes5c635$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.661442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No66c582.76$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.5430055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebc…8b41backed Yes38c576.02$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.78520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-46%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed No70c525$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No65c488$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.8414755.1%81 W · 66 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes26c472.73$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1314951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No63c466.58$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.0816858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes58c434.48$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2523938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes36c416.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504845.8%22 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes11c372.03$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.744124.4%10 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbe8…1141backed No68c368.38$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecf9…9372backed Yes16c345.26$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes58c329.96$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.2511858.5%69 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes6c312.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.13277.4%2 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked No65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.694100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked No44c292.27$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.672352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No65c271.32$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.2614955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No64c270$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+65%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes15c268.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157334.2%25 W · 48 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+44.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No65c241.17$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.414553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No70c225.59$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2214047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb27e…29d4backed Yes38c181$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-48.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No65c180$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6310448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Yes37c179.74$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.052748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes22c178.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.741233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc2…7ed7backed Yes57c175.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes33c165.9$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557631.6%24 W · 52 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed No64c155.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.14425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-60.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d3…8a20backed Yes40c154.47$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.97955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes42c152$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.484247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d73…9d35backed Yes9c150$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.46333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-46%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes41c147$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.065651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed No70c141.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.932166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes33c129.87$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2124732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes33c125$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.76933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No65c123$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.052070%14 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No66c111.66$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.669065.6%59 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick65cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea95…4730backed Yes52c110$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+45.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes37c102$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.743256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed No63c94.31$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.835129.4%15 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80e5…5228backed Yes34c94.29$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes57c88.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.182250%11 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+37.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Yes23c87.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No60c85.39$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0111050%55 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6330…1444backed No43c85.03$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick27cpaid+183%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc59f…f632backed Yes34c79.15$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+50.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes33c77.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.742142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa395…ce00backed Yes60c77.97$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed No65c77$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.952254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+36.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No66c75.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.762748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes58c74.64$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.29966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.534940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes15c73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.595259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes33c72.41$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.98747.1%41 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc783…8941backed Yes33c71.21$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No65c69$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.296955.1%38 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c87…7f4abacked Yes33c65.04$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-65.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204729.8%14 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes36c62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0832453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8882…c67dbacked No69c61.59$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.09540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Yes58c58.76$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.081070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+24.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked No70c58.04$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.59560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes23c56.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.132045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcc2…8c9abacked No64c56$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed No46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.357254.2%39 W · 33 L+9.2wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed No55c50.03$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.272540%10 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca7a…e989backed Yes31c42.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc1…88a0backed Yes56c40.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x514e…a604backed No64c39.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Yes34c38.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134546.7%21 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+39.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed No68c36.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.762454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x798e…4df3backed No72c36.32$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.331172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+36.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5fb…65d3backed Yes45c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Yes42c31.86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.288353%44 W · 39 L+8.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf245…746bbacked Yes60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick64cpaid+41.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b32…8052backed No41c29.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.321172.7%8 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.36per pick37cpaid+85.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No68c28.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.243748.3%211 W · 226 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefad…9c1bbacked Yes58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed No69c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.752560%15 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1216865.5%110 W · 58 L+22.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.