TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,565

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,565 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No58c13,375$7,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,785.8846644.8%209 W · 257 L-23.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes70c6,888$4,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,086.8422652.7%119 W · 107 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No4c5,099$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.231450%7 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes61c4,501$2,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,758.863043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Yes26c1,684$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes20c1,537$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.4598844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed Yes28c1,071$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.431040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+30.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes27c894$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.6212055%66 W · 54 L+12.6wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c784.5$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.1414955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes28c784.22$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.972326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes23c778.75$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.532512%3 W · 22 L-5.5wins-0.22per pick34cpaid-59.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes54c674.48$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.9147850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c7a…7101backed Yes60c627.69$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.13366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+26.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes23c565.22$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.226850%34 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No72c500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes25c499.96$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.971926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc674…1176backed Yes77c459.75$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes47c454.46$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.436344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No67c443.02$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.9410857.4%62 W · 46 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No72c395.25$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.1830055.3%166 W · 134 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes64c391.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.673938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.142240.9%9 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+31.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes73c303.02$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5128659.4%170 W · 116 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c38…a15abacked Yes31c277.55$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.81683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick47cpaid+104.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes28c273.51$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.262835.7%10 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a7f…5dcebacked No37c269.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.49837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes30c258$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.334247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf938…f68ebacked Yes25c239.6$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes30c235$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.835651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes27c223.6$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.67334.2%25 W · 48 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+44.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No29c215.48$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.6814047.1%66 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea95…4730backed Yes34c205$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+45.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes23c200.8$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.21030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Yes25c180$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1351145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes49c172.2$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.946471.9%46 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Yes28c170$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.42748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes26c164$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.6716858.3%98 W · 70 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68c0…7e68backed Yes28c156.93$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.931050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+53.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes18c138.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.892142.9%9 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.19per pick24cpaid+118.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x691f…5e69backed Yes74c132$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No57c130.57$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9114951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6330…1444backed Yes16c130.13$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick27cpaid+183%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No72c126.23$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3811752.1%61 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes28c125$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Yes40c118.52$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.021233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes24c109.67$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.353046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724637%17 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+34.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723473.5%25 W · 9 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+37.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5d73…9d35backed Yes62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-46%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb27e…29d4backed Yes65c99.88$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-48.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No23c85.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.239714.4%14 W · 83 L-13.0wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaaca…c634backed Yes34c83$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.781450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8a…8775backed Yes61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.972948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes78c78.93$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.732045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes23c77.85$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9424732.4%80 W · 167 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No75c77$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7512156.2%68 W · 53 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed No74c76.07$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0414060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes28c70.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.211643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+70.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes50c66.38$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.36955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+46.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No70c61.88$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2511050%55 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No72c60$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.22060%12 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No26c50.69$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1823551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb51f…b7dbbacked Yes28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked No72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed No73c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick75cpaid-56.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No72c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes58c46.6$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.514843.9%65 W · 83 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed No72c42$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.246955.1%38 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No26c41.05$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.484124.4%10 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No72c39.57$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.496162.3%38 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked No39c39.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.351533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bba…4c7abacked No77c38.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed No35c36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.721040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No73c34.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No51c33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.685259.6%31 W · 21 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No73c33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9532453.1%172 W · 152 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe85f…db1cbacked Yes70c30.94$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes68c30.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.722646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed No72c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed No72c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No72c29.83$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.485156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No72c27.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.518747.1%41 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes48c26.66$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9210633%35 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc323…a9cabacked No73c25.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…5712backed No73c25.6$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.59955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc62e…108dbacked Yes50c22.47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.34683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+41.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed No72c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce38…eecdbacked No73c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No72c19.85$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2911057.3%63 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.