NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2adeeae2f2e1949de21ee2be2defc94cb82f181f8a575ec87cd612c13ebe5705
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $281,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,647 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 100,812$50,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,038.98 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 47c | 74,410$34,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,966.65 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 65,275$34,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,861.3 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 51c | 30,000$15,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,686.16 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Over | 50c | 23,632$11,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,816 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 50c | 23,252$11,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,621.82 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Over | 50c | 21,712$10,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,810.02 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Over | 50c | 11,400$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 50c | 11,320$5,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,660 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Over | 48c | 9,294$4,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,460.26 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Over | 48c | 8,200$3,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,936 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b7…7ffabacked Over | 50c | 8,060$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 53c | 7,547$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,547.17 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Over | 50c | 5,600$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68b…c0ddbacked Over | 50c | 5,130$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…89a7backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Over | 49c | 4,728$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.8 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Over | 50c | 3,790$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 3,252$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.09 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 2,615$1,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.61 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Over | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 2,399$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.34 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…1769backed Over | 49c | 2,364$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.4 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 50c | 2,188$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Under | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.8 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Over | 50c | 1,567$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.34 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 49c | 1,508$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.29 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 49c | 1,281$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.66 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Over | 49c | 1,267$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Over | 12c | 1,236$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.92 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 54c | 1,184$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.79 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 46c | 853.78$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.74 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 45c | 837$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.65 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 791.31$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.74 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 54c | 757.87$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.93 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 80c | 668.24$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.65 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed Under | 51c | 521.59$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.58 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Under | 51c | 471.33$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.95 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Over | 50c | 428$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 52c | 385.11$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.89 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Over | 41c | 373.81$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.26 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…cb68backed Over | 45c | 372.31$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.54 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 343$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.21 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Under | 55c | 340.49$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.37 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 339.8$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 50c | 275.94$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.97 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 5c | 226$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 11c | 198.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 293 | 45.7%134 W · 159 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 319 | 54.5%174 W · 145 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c84…ac9abacked Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 50c | 156.53$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.38 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 26c | 137$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 68c | 116$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Over | 48c | 104.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 47c | 104.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 41c | 89.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 49c | 86.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 19c | 85.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under | 52c | 85.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…31e7backed Under | 53c | 76.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.77 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 42c | 68.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…b39ebacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ab3dbacked Under | 52c | 59.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Under | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 49c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…2723backed Over | 48c | 52.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b92cbacked Under | 51c | 51.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…4fcabacked Under | 55c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 148 | 58.1%86 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd86…b634backed Under | 51c | 49.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 128 | 57.8%74 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 51c | 46.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Over | 50c | 46.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4074…6059backed Under | 52c | 44.36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…0897backed Over | 50c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde2…3fcfbacked Under | 52c | 39.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb389…f59cbacked Under | 54c | 38.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c80…efb9backed Over | 48c | 36.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 56c | 32.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 271 | 38.7%105 W · 166 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33d0…a2a2backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Under | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…3615backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Under | 55c | 25.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 52c | 23.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084c…7544backed Over | 48c | 22.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 243 | 34.2%83 W · 160 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1911…ebf8backed Under | 55c | 19.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 55c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Grizzlies won
- Cedric Coward: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Cedric Coward: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Celtics vs. GrizzliesCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Under won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-14.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Celtics (-15.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.