NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-15.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12dcd71dbf05d7de46a809c124599c698d540c1e926b0a475cea4732709b4ac6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Celtics, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $450,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $450,377 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies | 51c | 327,187$166,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160,321.8 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Celtics | 49c | 110,000$53,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,900 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Celtics | 49c | 40,400$19,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,796 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Celtics | 49c | 40,349$19,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,970.52 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Celtics | 49c | 29,327$14,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,237.73 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics | 49c | 28,788$14,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,078.21 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 26,211$13,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,105.41 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Celtics | 49c | 20,860$10,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,221.4 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Celtics | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Celtics | 48c | 14,871$7,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,138.09 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc540…f7e5backed Celtics | 49c | 14,082$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 49c | 13,714$6,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,738.72 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Celtics | 49c | 10,408$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Grizzlies | 51c | 9,710$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,709.65 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics | 49c | 9,698$4,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,714.91 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtics | 48c | 7,908$3,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,831.63 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics | 48c | 6,994$3,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,357.12 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Grizzlies | 52c | 5,220$2,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.6 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 52c | 5,195$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,471.37 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Celtics | 49c | 4,632$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.6 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Grizzlies | 51c | 4,588$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,228.07 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Celtics | 50c | 4,194$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.41 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Grizzlies | 51c | 4,136$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.91 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Celtics | 49c | 4,115$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.35 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Celtics | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Celtics | 48c | 3,713$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.6 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 3,431$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.36 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Celtics | 48c | 3,411$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.19 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…303dbacked Celtics | 49c | 2,778$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Grizzlies | 51c | 2,425$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.34 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Celtics | 49c | 2,100$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Celtics | 49c | 2,070$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.66 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Celtics | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…0c83backed Grizzlies | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.97 | 193 | 46.1%89 W · 104 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Celtics | 48c | 1,257$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.28 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Grizzlies | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Celtics | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Grizzlies | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Celtics | 49c | 1,041$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.09 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Celtics | 49c | 1,027$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.38 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Celtics | 49c | 1,025$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.25 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Celtics | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Grizzlies | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Celtics | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Celtics | 49c | 941.04$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.11 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Celtics | 50c | 920$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Grizzlies | 51c | 907.32$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.59 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Celtics | 49c | 833.31$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.32 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd48…d64fbacked Celtics | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Grizzlies | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 700$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Celtics | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Celtics | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Celtics | 49c | 653.06$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Celtics | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b97…0d79backed Grizzlies | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Celtics | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Celtics | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Celtics | 49c | 444.9$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Grizzlies | 51c | 438.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Grizzlies | 52c | 419.83$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.46 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Celtics | 49c | 408.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Grizzlies | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Celtics | 48c | 354.47$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.14 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Celtics | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Celtics | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec5…8f77backed Celtics | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Celtics | 49c | 287$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.63 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Celtics | 48c | 242$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.16 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Celtics | 48c | 234.21$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.42 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Grizzlies | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Celtics | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Celtics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Celtics | 49c | 198$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Grizzlies | 51c | 178.23$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.53 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Celtics | 49c | 167.95$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.29 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…83b5backed Grizzlies | 52c | 158.65$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.15 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Celtics | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Grizzlies | 50c | 131.91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.95 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Celtics | 50c | 119.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.88 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Celtics | 49c | 119.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Grizzlies | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Grizzlies | 52c | 107.58$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…acb1backed Celtics | 49c | 105$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Celtics | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 296 | 46.6%138 W · 158 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Celtics | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…1cdebacked Celtics | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Celtics | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Grizzlies | 52c | 101.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 342 | 48.8%167 W · 175 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Celtics | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf17e…c12ebacked Grizzlies | 52c | 95.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…44c1backed Celtics | 50c | 95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b92cbacked Celtics | 49c | 94.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Celtics | 49c | 87.66$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.79 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics | 49c | 85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed Celtics | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Celtics | 49c | 79.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd4…50bcbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 76.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Celtics | 45c | 74.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-15.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Grizzlies won
- Cedric Coward: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Cedric Coward: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Celtics vs. GrizzliesCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Under won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-14.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.