TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,074

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,074 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over56c24,008$13,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,563.4666248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under44c16,066$7,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,017.999,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under44c4,391$1,933 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.714,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over57c2,754$1,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.391,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under44c2,200$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.673,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Over51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98016633.7%56 W · 110 L-11.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8804,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Under44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8801822.2%4 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under49c1,995$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.551,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under44c1,708$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.641,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5784…6788backed Under47c1,427$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6701323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.25per pick48cpaid-52.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over57c1,306$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.4958953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under1c1,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over57c976.91$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.0771654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under46c940.43$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.624151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Over57c920.47$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.87948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over56c766.99$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.4748751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under44c713.78$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.061,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under44c707$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.086,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under56c667.59$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.5365872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under45c667$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.231,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22087453.3%466 W · 408 L+19.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c484.96$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.898,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under44c444.94$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.772,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf824…651fbacked Under45c444.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.865250%26 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1632…cb68backed Over55c434.85$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.685040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c375.19$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.862,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Over37c307.66$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.820837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over33c299.91$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.9438242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26eb…c940backed Over57c290.02$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.712128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under46c269.23$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2945646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under51c246$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.482,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over57c242$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8734851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c176$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over69c163.95$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.331,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under44c161.01$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7856547.8%270 W · 295 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed Over58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6337665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under47c141.37$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9242153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under43c135.88$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4355347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over52c112.88$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.755,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Over49c111.8$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.029654.2%52 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x83fe…23d9backed Over53c104$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.885036%18 W · 32 L-7.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over54c103.91$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.963,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a37…180cbacked Over57c101$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.433452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4023657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4578648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc816…7a20backed Over50c99.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.679552.6%50 W · 45 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e6…7cefbacked Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8492…c05ebacked Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.593066.7%20 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under51c74.8$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1545542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Under47c73.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5443543.4%189 W · 246 L-16.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over53c71.54$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.622,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Over46c70$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4829556.6%167 W · 128 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed Under44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304042.5%17 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under48c66.66$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8451438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5233258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over36c56.36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.791,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over57c56.03$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0942352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over56c55.7$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.731,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3750…baa0backed Over60c55.23$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.831643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce5…cc57backed Under45c55$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.754763.8%30 W · 17 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdeb9…1641backed Over57c53.03$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.032050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under44c50.95$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4287049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4f8…2869backed Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517459.2%103 W · 71 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1758450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa10b…9885backed Under46c48.08$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.121952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed Under44c40.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Over31c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.623649.2%116 W · 120 L+28.6wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+27.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xad06…b132backed Over31c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.64645.7%21 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c3a…5c97backed Over31c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.65451.9%28 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+24.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Over43c39.95$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7715038%57 W · 93 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over57c39.58$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0225049.6%124 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc9…185bbacked Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7429247.9%140 W · 152 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under57c37.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.373,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under45c37.32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.792,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under51c37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8734247.7%163 W · 179 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under39c36.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4296956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Over45c36.11$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9315663.5%99 W · 57 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under42c36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1246447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6264…7b6bbacked Over75c35.63$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.911650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Under48c35.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1713447%63 W · 71 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3310850%54 W · 54 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb700…5a62backed Over55c31.7$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3217660.8%107 W · 69 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13f4…48c6backed Under48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513852.9%73 W · 65 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81ae…3615backed Under47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.14341.9%18 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…4648backed Over54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.816651.2%85 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under43c29.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.925138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Over57c28.82$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3921550.2%108 W · 107 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9786…b15cbacked Over54c28.65$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.277652.6%40 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under44c28.07$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.351,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over55c26.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.964,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ac…e166backed Over57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3218757.2%107 W · 80 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under46c25.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7629344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over58c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.522456.3%126 W · 98 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Under46c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.622336.8%82 W · 141 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c76…7409backed Over51c22.35$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.958247.6%39 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97a8…078dbacked Over57c21.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1123048.7%112 W · 118 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d7c…3e7abacked Over57c19.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.63167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.