NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5530a6e28f1531fe523a69c858c02e3ccb12d82159632e037073b13d6d2ef8c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,074 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 56c | 24,008$13,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,563.46 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 16,066$7,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,017.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 44c | 4,391$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.71 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 57c | 2,754$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.39 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 2,200$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.67 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Under | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 49c | 1,995$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.55 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 44c | 1,708$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.64 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…6788backed Under | 47c | 1,427$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 57c | 1,306$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.49 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 98 | 1%1 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 57c | 976.91$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.07 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 46c | 940.43$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.6 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Over | 57c | 920.47$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.8 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 56c | 766.99$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.47 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 44c | 713.78$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.06 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 44c | 707$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.08 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 56c | 667.59$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.53 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 45c | 667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.23 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 484.96$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.89 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 44c | 444.94$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.77 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…651fbacked Under | 45c | 444.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.86 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…cb68backed Over | 55c | 434.85$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.68 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 45c | 375.19$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.86 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 37c | 307.66$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Over | 33c | 299.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.94 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…c940backed Over | 57c | 290.02$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.71 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 46c | 269.23$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.29 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 51c | 246$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.48 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 57c | 242$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.87 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 176$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 69c | 163.95$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 44c | 161.01$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.78 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 47c | 141.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.92 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 43c | 135.88$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.43 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 52c | 112.88$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Over | 49c | 111.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.02 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed Over | 53c | 104$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 54c | 103.91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a37…180cbacked Over | 57c | 101$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc816…7a20backed Over | 50c | 99.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…7cefbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…c05ebacked Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 51c | 74.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 47c | 73.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 435 | 43.4%189 W · 246 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 53c | 71.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.62 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed Over | 46c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 295 | 56.6%167 W · 128 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Under | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 48c | 66.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 36c | 56.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Over | 57c | 56.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 56c | 55.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3750…baa0backed Over | 60c | 55.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…cc57backed Under | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…1641backed Over | 57c | 53.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 44c | 50.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…2869backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 174 | 59.2%103 W · 71 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa10b…9885backed Under | 46c | 48.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Under | 44c | 40.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3a…5c97backed Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Over | 43c | 39.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over | 57c | 39.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…185bbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 292 | 47.9%140 W · 152 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 57c | 37.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 45c | 37.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Under | 51c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 39c | 36.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Over | 45c | 36.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 42c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…7b6bbacked Over | 75c | 35.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Under | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 134 | 47%63 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Over | 55c | 31.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 176 | 60.8%107 W · 69 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f4…48c6backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…3615backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…4648backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 43c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Over | 57c | 28.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…b15cbacked Over | 54c | 28.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 44c | 28.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 55c | 26.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Under | 46c | 25.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…7409backed Over | 51c | 22.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Over | 57c | 21.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…3e7abacked Over | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-8.5)Grizzlies won
- Cedric Coward: Points O/U 11.5No won
- Cedric Coward: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Celtics vs. GrizzliesCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5Over won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Under won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 21.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-14.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Celtics (-15.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.