Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UIC Flames vs. Murray State Racers: O/U 148.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab386a39ee3701821c5bbe920d2c527f1311846d8620f4989751f1f18ea15d67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,314 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 5,323$2,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,737.06 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 1,555$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.49 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 54c | 1,316$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.22 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 45c | 625.34$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.66 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 51c | 169.26$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.6 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 48c | 149.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 137.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 55c | 119.06$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 98.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Over | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 45c | 88.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…dc40backed Under | 47c | 81.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Under | 49c | 74.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 225 | 44.9%101 W · 124 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 53c | 67.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 49c | 49.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Over | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 45c | 32.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d51…7317backed Over | 46c | 32.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b6…5f6ebacked Under | 51c | 32.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1619…3a84backed Under | 47c | 27.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Under | 49c | 26.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Over | 45c | 22.88$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Over | 47c | 21.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UIC Flames vs. Murray State Racers: O/U 148.5this page
- Spread: Murray State Racers (-1.5)UIC Flames won
- Spread: UIC Flames (-1.5)UIC Flames won
- UIC Flames vs. Murray State RacersUIC Flames won
- UIC Flames vs. Murray State Racers: O/U 147.5Over won
- UIC Flames vs. Murray State Racers: O/U 149.5Over won
- UIC Flames vs. Murray State Racers: O/U 150.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.