TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UIC Flames vs. Murray State Racers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UIC Flamesof UIC Flames, Murray State Racers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,858

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,858 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Murray State Racers52c10,816$5,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,583.751,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Murray State Racers50c5,653$2,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,832.9937947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked UIC Flames48c4,281$2,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,213.82,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Murray State Racers49c3,355$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,643.9921149.3%104 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed UIC Flames68c3,228$2,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.681,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed UIC Flames49c2,996$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.561652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked UIC Flames49c2,991$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.5427947.3%132 W · 147 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed UIC Flames48c2,829$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.5324451.2%125 W · 119 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked UIC Flames60c2,100$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.3926945.7%123 W · 146 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked UIC Flames51c2,042$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.5774152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed UIC Flames51c2,032$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.7184147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed UIC Flames49c2,028$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.1889850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x348f…a206backed Murray State Racers59c1,829$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.844645.7%21 W · 25 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed UIC Flames50c1,802$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.991,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked UIC Flames66c1,634$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.285,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Murray State Racers12c1,382$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.9225829.5%76 W · 182 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed UIC Flames51c1,361$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.6716253.1%86 W · 76 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Murray State Racers49c1,306$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.1126254.2%142 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked UIC Flames50c1,296$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.2712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Murray State Racers26c1,010$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.5549747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Murray State Racers52c953.05$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.0616054.4%87 W · 73 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6727…31dbbacked UIC Flames49c900$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+94.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Murray State Racers38c856.6$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.8616350.9%83 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Murray State Racers49c577.72$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.623938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed UIC Flames57c517.14$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.75,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb9c1…36c8backed UIC Flames75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1251241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Murray State Racers5c499.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.978342.2%35 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Murray State Racers33c478.9$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.673,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked UIC Flames66c475.86$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.021,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed UIC Flames69c418.97$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.483,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b00…03a9backed Murray State Racers52c396.86$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.374025%10 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Murray State Racers18c353.66$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.911,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed UIC Flames42c350$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.52,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b54…d382backed UIC Flames65c342.83$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.997655.3%42 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaad5…ac2ebacked Murray State Racers40c328.11$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.929745.4%44 W · 53 L+8.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Murray State Racers17c303.41$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.284,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Murray State Racers53c277.56$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.1130649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed UIC Flames47c269.63$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.925837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8932…eb14backed Murray State Racers54c247.83$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.832630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Murray State Racers26c236.4$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0918548.6%90 W · 95 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc131…10acbacked UIC Flames62c231.7$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UIC Flames49c219.19$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.782,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked UIC Flames52c209.69$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.6545351.4%233 W · 220 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed UIC Flames52c201.84$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7530853.2%164 W · 144 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked UIC Flames48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked UIC Flames47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1062,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Murray State Racers52c189.33$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4540755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed UIC Flames57c174.13$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.532,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Murray State Racers53c169.39$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.781,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e88…f3c9backed UIC Flames64c154.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.89729.9%29 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Murray State Racers49c150.47$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7350745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d90…d3dbbacked Murray State Racers34c147.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.611816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked UIC Flames71c143.13$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1477142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Murray State Racers52c136.26$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.857959.5%47 W · 32 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed UIC Flames62c117.53$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7616255.6%90 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked UIC Flames40c115$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6984854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Murray State Racers53c98.14$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0150548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked UIC Flames51c97.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6222640.7%92 W · 134 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Murray State Racers18c92.11$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0481528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked UIC Flames70c88.9$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.514,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed UIC Flames60c75.38$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1557655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Murray State Racers19c75.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.581,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc14d…f8b4backed UIC Flames48c64.09$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.365933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Murray State Racers52c63.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.289258.7%54 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed UIC Flames67c61.31$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.161,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9700…df3cbacked UIC Flames66c60.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.83966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Murray State Racers34c59.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3949345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Murray State Racers51c58.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5162140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked UIC Flames50c56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2421850.9%111 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked UIC Flames48c51.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9758652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Murray State Racers31c50.64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.919522.1%43 W · 152 L-36.3wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-53.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed UIC Flames49c50.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7913450%67 W · 67 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed UIC Flames48c49.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2616755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6483…750abacked UIC Flames47c49.56$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.278834.1%30 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec7b…dc40backed UIC Flames50c47.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.793036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Murray State Racers55c36.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8333855%186 W · 152 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed UIC Flames68c33.45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.793447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed UIC Flames47c29.74$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7611840.7%48 W · 70 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked UIC Flames47c27.76$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7161244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed UIC Flames65c27.63$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7894036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed UIC Flames49c23.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.136740.3%27 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72ab…8d29backed Murray State Racers51c23.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.112152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked UIC Flames69c21.29$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5669350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe662…b7eabacked Murray State Racers51c21.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aec…8372backed Murray State Racers51c20.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfa3…5d5cbacked UIC Flames51c20.49$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.041040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed UIC Flames51c20.32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.963452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4125…23a9backed UIC Flames65c18.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.465470.4%38 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.