Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Murray State Racers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffbc9c002c7ca2fdcf0ef74c15977f08bf83312db6dbb4c9a4753cb349e011d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UIC Flamesof Murray State Racers, UIC Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,463 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked UIC Flames | 56c | 8,499$4,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,748.07 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Murray State Racers | 44c | 5,148$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.35 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Murray State Racers | 44c | 1,198$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.63 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Murray State Racers | 45c | 1,163$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.73 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Murray State Racers | 44c | 495.69$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.1 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Murray State Racers | 44c | 225.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.69 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Murray State Racers | 45c | 193.02$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.6 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked UIC Flames | 53c | 128.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.53 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Murray State Racers | 45c | 110.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Murray State Racers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UIC Flames | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed UIC Flames | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Murray State Racers | 50c | 83.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Murray State Racers | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Murray State Racers | 43c | 75.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Murray State Racers | 45c | 62.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked UIC Flames | 56c | 53.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Murray State Racers | 46c | 38.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…f137backed UIC Flames | 51c | 29.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed UIC Flames | 62c | 25.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked UIC Flames | 56c | 21.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Murray State Racers (-1.5)this page
- Spread: UIC Flames (-1.5)UIC Flames won
- UIC Flames vs. Murray State RacersUIC Flames won
- UIC Flames vs. Murray State Racers: O/U 147.5Over won
- UIC Flames vs. Murray State Racers: O/U 148.5Over won
- UIC Flames vs. Murray State Racers: O/U 149.5Over won
- UIC Flames vs. Murray State Racers: O/U 150.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.