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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Texas Longhorns vs. Texas A&M Aggies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texas Longhornsof Texas Longhorns, Texas A&M Aggies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,779
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,466

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,779 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Texas Longhorns64c12,421$7,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,441.585,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Texas A&M Aggies46c3,410$1,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,568.8324351.4%125 W · 118 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Texas A&M Aggies62c3,180$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,964.2444549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Texas A&M Aggies33c3,036$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.552,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Texas Longhorns60c2,843$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.214560%27 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Texas Longhorns38c2,826$1,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,755.1837441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Texas A&M Aggies35c2,789$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.682,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Texas A&M Aggies35c2,523$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.2431646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Texas Longhorns54c2,275$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.495,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Texas A&M Aggies24c2,103$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.8414325.9%37 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Texas A&M Aggies28c1,794$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.381,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Texas Longhorns46c1,551$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.4455840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Texas A&M Aggies40c1,365$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.3218349.2%90 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Texas Longhorns68c1,194$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.743,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b96…b053backed Texas A&M Aggies31c996.32$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.861421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-68.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Texas A&M Aggies43c976.36$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.53,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Texas Longhorns58c937.56$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.514,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Texas A&M Aggies37c712.18$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.832,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Texas Longhorns66c691.9$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.2410451%53 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Texas A&M Aggies38c666.84$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.6377142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Texas A&M Aggies47c635.26$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.7534943.3%151 W · 198 L-15.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Texas A&M Aggies57c589.93$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.462,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Texas A&M Aggies57c576.55$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.911,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Texas A&M Aggies55c536.52$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.0984147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas A&M Aggies45c508.66$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.564,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b54…d382backed Texas Longhorns47c470.33$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.277655.3%42 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Texas A&M Aggies38c456.61$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.511,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Texas A&M Aggies55c438.46$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.9236535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Texas Longhorns55c388.19$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.9581528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Texas A&M Aggies63c387.82$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.191,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Texas A&M Aggies49c309.32$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.293247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Texas Longhorns37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1892,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Texas Longhorns40c297.48$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.4917551.4%90 W · 85 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Texas A&M Aggies35c284.69$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.217530.7%23 W · 52 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc81a…c368backed Texas A&M Aggies53c269.99$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.091741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Texas Longhorns38c262$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.0655532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Texas Longhorns44c225.31$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.181,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Texas Longhorns46c221.9$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.791,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b3a…df40backed Texas A&M Aggies28c210.51$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.145939%23 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Texas A&M Aggies48c199.15$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.651,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Texas Longhorns41c186.84$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.121,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Texas Longhorns40c183.77$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3249157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87fa…12d0backed Texas A&M Aggies34c182.5$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Texas Longhorns43c168.87$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.2678052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Texas Longhorns69c140.38$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.157959.5%47 W · 32 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Texas Longhorns76c132.95$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5730054%162 W · 138 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Texas Longhorns39c130$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.331537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Texas Longhorns40c121.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1492246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f5…4e04backed Texas A&M Aggies65c115.58$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.134673.9%34 W · 12 L+7.6wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+40.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf3d6…e952backed Texas Longhorns46c108.81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.257350.7%37 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Texas A&M Aggies38c107.68$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.371,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Texas A&M Aggies58c104$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.843053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8510…57e6backed Texas A&M Aggies26c101.61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.425056%28 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Texas Longhorns45c99.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.691,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Texas Longhorns75c92.63$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.162,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Texas A&M Aggies42c80.03$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3471655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Texas Longhorns39c76.28$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5393447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a1…8c96backed Texas Longhorns40c67.55$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Texas A&M Aggies29c66.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.227055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Texas Longhorns49c63.52$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.470936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Texas A&M Aggies52c62$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0257655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe300…8b9ebacked Texas A&M Aggies57c52.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.953938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Texas A&M Aggies36c52.41$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.791,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x6436…aa37backed Texas A&M Aggies51c51.61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.325433.3%18 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe496…4d8bbacked Texas A&M Aggies61c45.62$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8317945.8%82 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Texas Longhorns44c45.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2362140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Texas A&M Aggies34c42.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.511,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Texas Longhorns40c41.65$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9961244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Texas A&M Aggies59c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.616755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf158…aa4bbacked Texas Longhorns47c38.35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.171553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Texas A&M Aggies57c38.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8333445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Texas Longhorns44c38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2819522.1%43 W · 152 L-36.3wins-0.19per pick41cpaid-53.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x5581…c029backed Texas Longhorns58c37.82$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.954035%14 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Texas Longhorns71c36.84$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8131666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Texas A&M Aggies56c36.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2611552.2%60 W · 55 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b9c…da16backed Texas A&M Aggies59c32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7715066%99 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f95…70a9backed Texas A&M Aggies57c28.06$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.99944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0891…32aebacked Texas Longhorns77c25.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.78666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3831…7f10backed Texas Longhorns59c25.2$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.335554.5%30 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ae2…8d89backed Texas A&M Aggies57c24.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.761866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Texas Longhorns53c19.58$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1214049.3%69 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Texas A&M Aggies61c17.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8920834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.