CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa60cb3e089bc4780d126c114f8bad05b60dc47488053cfda4bf15c06c6404233
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- METANOIA WOLVESof METANOIA WOLVES, Bounty Hunters Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,381 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc67…5286backed METANOIA WOLVES | 41c | 3,175$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.92 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 65c | 2,437$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.39 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked METANOIA WOLVES | 38c | 1,283$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.81 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 49c | 1,110$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.8 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 35c | 835.99$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.08 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed METANOIA WOLVES | 49c | 562.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.84 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 61c | 336.55$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.29 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked METANOIA WOLVES | 32c | 259.31$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.47 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 72c | 250$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.58 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -10.4wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 75c | 245.26$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.33 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed METANOIA WOLVES | 32c | 195.37$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.37 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa743…7300backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 26c | 192.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 68c | 119$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.16 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 59c | 117$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 32c | 117$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.51 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 25c | 116.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed METANOIA WOLVES | 39c | 95.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 46c | 71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked METANOIA WOLVES | 77c | 64.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Bounty Hunters Esports | 59c | 47.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed METANOIA WOLVES | 31c | 46.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed METANOIA WOLVES | 51c | 35.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Bounty Hunters Esports | 65c | 17.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 PlayoffsMETANOIA WOLVES won
- Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Bounty Hunters Esports - Map 1 WinnerMETANOIA WOLVES won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.