CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe473477a671474557d734c6c397c1792f7fcd5798bb80d17859a5f8a0ea916de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Passion UAof Passion UA, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Eternal Fire | 43c | 2,222$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.53 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Passion UA | 57c | 1,391$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.98 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Eternal Fire | 47c | 1,274$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.34 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Eternal Fire | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Passion UA | 51c | 873.08$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.92 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Passion UA | 74c | 793.21$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.13 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8083…0b28backed Passion UA | 50c | 780$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Passion UA | 48c | 704.38$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.49 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…c4adbacked Eternal Fire | 45c | 640.03$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.73 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Eternal Fire | 58c | 578.84$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.03 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Eternal Fire | 36c | 548.19$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.24 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Passion UA | 65c | 424.62$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.17 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Passion UA | 53c | 389.55$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.44 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Eternal Fire | 60c | 383.38$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.46 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Passion UA | 44c | 379.38$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.3 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked Passion UA | 66c | 373.69$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.05 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Eternal Fire | 17c | 337.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Eternal Fire | 18c | 337.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Passion UA | 50c | 332.52$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.04 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Eternal Fire | 33c | 319.71$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Passion UA | 68c | 310.32$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.11 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Passion UA | 59c | 303.27$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.09 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Passion UA | 67c | 292.44$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.07 | 193 | 55.4%107 W · 86 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…df30backed Passion UA | 68c | 291.09$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.71 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Eternal Fire | 32c | 274.72$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.05 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa743…7300backed Passion UA | 66c | 247.3$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.29 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Eternal Fire | 45c | 238.51$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.22 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Passion UA | 68c | 220.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.05 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Passion UA | 69c | 203.24$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Eternal Fire | 33c | 169.45$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Eternal Fire | 36c | 150.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.02 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Passion UA | 43c | 149.45$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Passion UA | 50c | 147.75$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.88 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Passion UA | 66c | 133.74$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Passion UA | 62c | 126.71$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…768cbacked Eternal Fire | 44c | 112.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Eternal Fire | 56c | 105.32$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Eternal Fire | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Eternal Fire | 34c | 98.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…3015backed Eternal Fire | 50c | 98.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74d6…2385backed Passion UA | 52c | 94.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed Eternal Fire | 54c | 91.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Eternal Fire | 13c | 88.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Eternal Fire | 26c | 86.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Eternal Fire | 33c | 86.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa8…d75fbacked Passion UA | 43c | 78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Passion UA | 62c | 75.72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.77 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Passion UA | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Passion UA | 55c | 65.41$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.13 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Eternal Fire | 39c | 62.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Passion UA | 61c | 50.69$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Eternal Fire | 45c | 48.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Passion UA | 53c | 42.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Passion UA | 67c | 36.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 265 | 64.2%170 W · 95 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…0bd0backed Eternal Fire | 53c | 34.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…5bbfbacked Passion UA | 56c | 31.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Passion UA | 69c | 28.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d87…d456backed Eternal Fire | 57c | 25.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Passion UA | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…2368backed Passion UA | 67c | 21.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1445…614abacked Passion UA | 56c | 21.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Passion UA | 56c | 20.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Passion UA | 69c | 19.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Passion UA | 68c | 16.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsPassion UA won
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: PSSN.UA (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)Eternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.