CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02c377ea194a24b958f5d2247ccb9c7b2ceb88df6b84813bfd488e08628e5a24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Passion UA, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Passion UA | 5c | 10,800$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Passion UA | 17c | 1,554$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.83 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Eternal Fire | 60c | 998.31$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.24 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Eternal Fire | 73c | 871.46$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.42 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Eternal Fire | 62c | 639.87$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.78 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…62aabacked Passion UA | 53c | 450$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…2aa9backed Eternal Fire | 45c | 443.32$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.82 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Passion UA | 10c | 308.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Passion UA | 42c | 233.74$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.54 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Eternal Fire | 74c | 212.93$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Eternal Fire | 72c | 208.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Eternal Fire | 70c | 179.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Passion UA | 47c | 147.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Eternal Fire | 36c | 111.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.58 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Eternal Fire | 80c | 110.12$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Passion UA | 35c | 103.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Eternal Fire | 67c | 100.56$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Eternal Fire | 74c | 86.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Passion UA | 43c | 73.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Eternal Fire | 58c | 64.66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Passion UA | 18c | 64.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 374 | 45.7%171 W · 203 L | -29.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Eternal Fire | 71c | 58.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Passion UA | 45c | 39.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x195f…8397backed Eternal Fire | 65c | 30.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Passion UA | 38c | 29.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Eternal Fire | 40c | 29.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Eternal Fire | 75c | 18.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsPassion UA won
- Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 WinnerPassion UA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: PSSN.UA (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)Eternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.