CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Acend - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc230b4a2dd19734cb15d657f494d8cefe73769f982484257b6f56ff86188b8bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acendof Heroic, Acend
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4969…6d77backed Acend | 16c | 900$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 227 | 34.4%78 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic | 77c | 891.45$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.25 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Heroic | 51c | 845.3$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.61 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Heroic | 50c | 779.06$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.53 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Heroic | 8c | 749.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Acend | 39c | 553.98$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.68 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa743…7300backed Acend | 49c | 500.8$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.82 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf755…8e37backed Acend | 61c | 499.15$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.03 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Acend | 29c | 449.1$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.12 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Heroic | 6c | 420$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Heroic | 68c | 407.96$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.89 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Heroic | 39c | 368.04$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.54 | 356 | 43%153 W · 203 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic | 69c | 331.69$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.38 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Acend | 11c | 283.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.45 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Acend | 41c | 282.66$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.69 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Acend | 33c | 272.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.1 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked Acend | 33c | 209.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Heroic | 7c | 209$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…ae39backed Acend | 50c | 197.6$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.1 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Acend | 50c | 187.68$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163f…c4b4backed Acend | 21c | 173.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.43 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Heroic | 66c | 148.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 243 | 46.9%114 W · 129 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Acend | 29c | 146.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.76 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Heroic | 48c | 140.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf16…65a6backed Heroic | 74c | 133.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.85 | 235 | 57.4%135 W · 100 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Heroic | 77c | 130.79$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Acend | 12c | 130.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.71 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Heroic | 17c | 129.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed Acend | 28c | 117.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…8892backed Heroic | 64c | 116.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Acend | 42c | 99.74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 498 | 43%214 W · 284 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Acend | 15c | 99.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.19 | 548 | 39.8%218 W · 330 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Acend | 35c | 98.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.11 | 849 | 37.8%321 W · 528 L | -20.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Acend | 20c | 95.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Acend | 19c | 90.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Heroic | 65c | 89.59$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7be…908dbacked Acend | 21c | 80.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Acend | 28c | 74.49$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Acend | 36c | 73.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Acend | 32c | 64.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Acend | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.1 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Heroic | 68c | 56.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Heroic | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 590 | 55.6%328 W · 262 L | +23.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Acend | 32c | 40.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Heroic | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Heroic | 73c | 28.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6886…2ed8backed Heroic | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Acend - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Acend (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup PlayoffsAcend won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Acend - Map 2 WinnerHeroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.