CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb62f0f6f6b919a3258a4d6bada8c0128b53c8e1abd6401ab2dc2fd2291ecde60

Rebuilt 1 minute ago.

Winning outcome: BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, G2
Resolved: Mar 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $38,329
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $47,494

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,329 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa27c…ab67backed G2	60c	2,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	450	58.9%265 W · 185 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed BetBoom Team	53c	1,924$1,026 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$898.1	573	58.8%337 W · 236 L	+16.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed BetBoom Team	36c	1,871$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,200.57	282	48.9%138 W · 144 L	+21.4wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed G2	1c	1,300$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	103	0%0 W · 103 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BetBoom Team	40c	1,183$473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$709.63	2,066	41.5%858 W · 1,208 L	-49.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed G2	35c	926.46$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.09	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed G2	54c	916.91$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.34	412	60.9%251 W · 161 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked G2	1c	900$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	197	3.6%7 W · 190 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-91.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked G2	54c	890.06$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.3	3,225	51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L	+88.0wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked G2	8c	854.23$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.51	159	35.2%56 W · 103 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed G2	12c	802.82$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.75	88	38.6%34 W · 54 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked G2	30c	799.95$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.17	3,910	36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L	-197.6wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed BetBoom Team	35c	772.01$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$503.98	484	37.6%182 W · 302 L	+13.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+42%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed BetBoom Team	52c	751.34$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$363.06	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed G2	3c	650.07$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.59	567	32.5%184 W · 383 L	-30.0wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked BetBoom Team	50c	598.47$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.09	352	42.9%151 W · 201 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed G2	8c	591.34$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.81	644	39.8%256 W · 388 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa743…7300backed G2	55c	540.64$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.62	86	44.2%38 W · 48 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed G2	69c	539.14$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$373.21	724	53.7%389 W · 335 L	+11.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed G2	61c	430$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.72	204	40.7%83 W · 121 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a84…dd32backed G2	63c	422.21$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.75	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-6.0wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xcc8d…5664backed G2	28c	383$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.84	82	42.7%35 W · 47 L	+5.6wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed BetBoom Team	70c	379.91$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.76	209	42.1%88 W · 121 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed BetBoom Team	36c	366.98$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.02	324	43.5%141 W · 183 L	-15.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked G2	66c	341.21$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.84	1,398	48.4%676 W · 722 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed BetBoom Team	55c	301.79$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$134.4	314	52.2%164 W · 150 L	-10.8wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed G2	46c	269.62$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.34	365	55.9%204 W · 161 L	+13.4wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed G2	70c	247.15$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173	374	45.7%171 W · 203 L	-29.6wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6342…0546backed BetBoom Team	37c	217.69$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136.81	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked G2	78c	201$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.78	357	44.3%158 W · 199 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed G2	61c	196.96$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.19	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	61cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x169e…88c9backed G2	47c	193.68$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.98	59	57.6%34 W · 25 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed G2	59c	192.71$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.43	1,485	58%862 W · 623 L	+66.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed G2	50c	177.28$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.64	229	52%119 W · 110 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed G2	56c	174.87$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.52	529	47.1%249 W · 280 L	-14.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked BetBoom Team	54c	168.77$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.08	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9147…baccbacked G2	68c	145.14$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.69	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed BetBoom Team	49c	144.75$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.84	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed BetBoom Team	57c	138.81$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.42	559	50.3%281 W · 278 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed BetBoom Team	49c	137.42$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.55	493	76.1%375 W · 118 L	+96.8wins	+0.20per pick	56cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	71+0.19 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked BetBoom Team	53c	131.89$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.39	656	50.3%330 W · 326 L	-15.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked G2	60c	120$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	1,714	46.7%801 W · 913 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed G2	48c	119.95$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.07	2,468	24.6%607 W · 1,861 L	-317.8wins	-0.13per pick	37cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked G2	80c	109.7$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.76	840	37.9%318 W · 522 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58ea…538dbacked BetBoom Team	47c	104.79$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.54	205	49.8%102 W · 103 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed BetBoom Team	20c	101.96$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.57	517	55.9%289 W · 228 L	+20.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c82…9728backed BetBoom Team	75c	100$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	218	48.6%106 W · 112 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04db…7703backed G2	63c	98.6$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.12	416	45.9%191 W · 225 L	+22.3wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb89a…d883backed BetBoom Team	51c	98.5$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.27	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+2.8wins	+0.57per pick	43cpaid	+142.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed BetBoom Team	57c	89.75$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.4	1,216	40.1%488 W · 728 L	-65.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ef…c822backed G2	55c	89.56$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.26	153	73.2%112 W · 41 L	+18.5wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2b7f…6e16backed BetBoom Team	30c	82.28$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.6	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed G2	32c	77.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.85	452	24.3%110 W · 342 L	-52.4wins	-0.12per pick	36cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked G2	68c	73$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.34	253	44.3%112 W · 141 L	-7.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked G2	21c	70$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	363	34.2%124 W · 239 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked G2	61c	69.54$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.24	313	28.4%89 W · 224 L	-21.8wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked BetBoom Team	27c	69.17$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.5	334	59%197 W · 137 L	+24.3wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc26c…ffddbacked G2	66c	65.66$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.07	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5410…dcc7backed BetBoom Team	33c	60.03$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.22	109	35.8%39 W · 70 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0950…a26dbacked BetBoom Team	22c	59.38$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.32	91	38.5%35 W · 56 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x417f…f97bbacked G2	64c	59.17$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.87	51	33.3%17 W · 34 L	-4.5wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-38%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed G2	33c	54.29$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.81	247	47%116 W · 131 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…a1d3backed G2	60c	52.57$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.54	265	64.2%170 W · 95 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed G2	70c	51.87$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.12	274	59.5%163 W · 111 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed G2	27c	51$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.62	63	22.2%14 W · 49 L	-9.4wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked BetBoom Team	56c	50.25$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.11	195	40%78 W · 117 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b4…51fdbacked G2	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	88	42%37 W · 51 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed G2	42c	47.23$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.71	499	47.5%237 W · 262 L	-11.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5639…90fbbacked BetBoom Team	41c	46.33$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.4	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed BetBoom Team	61c	45.43$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.93	1,109	50.5%560 W · 549 L	-3.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed BetBoom Team	30c	44.96$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.47	150	45.3%68 W · 82 L	-6.7wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80bd…7acdbacked G2	55c	44.78$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.63	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c77…6747backed BetBoom Team	47c	43.02$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.02	112	30.4%34 W · 78 L	-16.7wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xb94f…07a6backed BetBoom Team	72c	41.24$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.61	57	64.9%37 W · 20 L	+4.8wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+19%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe8c…6c48backed BetBoom Team	50c	39.07$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.47	86	41.9%36 W · 50 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf48e…428fbacked G2	53c	37.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.7	111	47.7%53 W · 58 L	-6.2wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7be…908dbacked BetBoom Team	54c	37.11$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.12	153	52.3%80 W · 73 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d4e…3704backed G2	53c	35.31$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.72	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.19per pick	37cpaid	-48.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6af2…8bd8backed BetBoom Team	58c	32.34$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.62	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed BetBoom Team	49c	32.17$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.41	2,102	16.8%353 W · 1,749 L	-286.5wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x0762…8bd3backed G2	60c	30.9$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.63	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	69cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a86…713dbacked G2	65c	30.18$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.73	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed BetBoom Team	36c	30$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.2	4,038	48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf456…3855backed G2	37c	29.6$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.85	101	28.7%29 W · 72 L	-5.7wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3d5…1fa5backed G2	67c	29.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.73	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.5wins	-0.73per pick	73cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked BetBoom Team	50c	29.16$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.53	295	55.3%163 W · 132 L	+12.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9570…55a7backed G2	54c	21.78$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.82	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-2.4wins	-0.17per pick	38cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked BetBoom Team	73c	19.76$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.34	1,315	51.1%672 W · 643 L	-99.5wins	-0.08per pick	59cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed G2	66c	17.05$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.25	333	52.6%175 W · 158 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup PlayoffsBetBoom Team won
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event