CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BIG - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0760daed3bb6dffad936de8bc57809d1ee09f7e179eb65622bd880d8089a62f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof Sinners, BIG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Sinners | 29c | 5,280$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.46 | 307 | 26.4%81 W · 226 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed BIG | 72c | 5,000$3,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.4 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78fc…8c88backed Sinners | 1c | 5,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 2cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Sinners | 42c | 1,723$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.49 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Sinners | 19c | 1,557$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.31 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sinners | 34c | 1,500$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked BIG | 71c | 1,404$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.82 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Sinners | 1c | 1,300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BIG | 58c | 1,044$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.79 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed BIG | 54c | 1,042$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.55 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Sinners | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Sinners | 16c | 904.35$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.8 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Sinners | 47c | 819.99$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.39 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54df…d2a1backed BIG | 72c | 792.06$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked BIG | 61c | 648.23$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.1 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed BIG | 50c | 598$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Sinners | 45c | 501.15$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.27 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Sinners | 27c | 467.55$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.05 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Sinners | 46c | 408.28$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.09 | 365 | 54.8%200 W · 165 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…beeabacked Sinners | 37c | 403.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb03a…ceddbacked BIG | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Sinners | 14c | 306.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Sinners | 17c | 292$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa743…7300backed Sinners | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked BIG | 57c | 262.61$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.92 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked BIG | 76c | 262.34$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed BIG | 74c | 220$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed Sinners | 52c | 209.07$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.27 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sinners | 12c | 208.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked BIG | 67c | 190.34$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…d073backed Sinners | 11c | 186.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ea…538dbacked Sinners | 17c | 157.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed BIG | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa8…d75fbacked Sinners | 18c | 131.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Sinners | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BIG | 78c | 119.52$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sinners | 23c | 113.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…df49backed Sinners | 35c | 99.17$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Sinners | 33c | 98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed BIG | 58c | 97$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Sinners | 32c | 94.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…8892backed Sinners | 55c | 92.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Sinners | 45c | 89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Sinners | 25c | 85.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed Sinners | 15c | 70$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Sinners | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sinners | 45c | 62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed BIG | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdca…3e35backed Sinners | 55c | 50.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…43abbacked BIG | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 184 | 51.1%94 W · 90 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb9…b98fbacked Sinners | 24c | 47.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed BIG | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 122 | 60.7%74 W · 48 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2926…1591backed Sinners | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed BIG | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed BIG | 72c | 34.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed BIG | 76c | 31.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed BIG | 70c | 30.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked BIG | 76c | 26.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…be6bbacked BIG | 75c | 18.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed BIG | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BIG - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BIG (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship PlayoffsSinners won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs BIG - Map 2 WinnerSinners won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.